Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347f9cfc75ec810ccb80bfde9b61cee2dca697371510fc3e6b99ce315e4cb81e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,832 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 10c | 52,151$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.39 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 9c | 27,175$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.92 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes | 11c | 13,004$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.37 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 4c | 11,105$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.25 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 9c | 10,563$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.61 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 10c | 9,683$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.35 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,971$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.07 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 7c | 7,478$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.85 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 3c | 7,370$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 9c | 7,287$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.3 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 19c | 6,543$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.82 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 8c | 6,198$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.74 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 71c | 5,326$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.25 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 5c | 5,217$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.96 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 11c | 5,129$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.79 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 80c | 4,973$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.73 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 21c | 4,867$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.04 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,612$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.82 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 10c | 4,454$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.32 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,186$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.76 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 5c | 4,144$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Yes | 20c | 4,064$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 8c | 3,490$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 10c | 3,459$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.13 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,413$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 4c | 2,861$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 30c | 2,785$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,669$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,665$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 11c | 2,624$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.73 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 11c | 2,598$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 2,592$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.21 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 4c | 2,502$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,402$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes | 6c | 2,366$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 165 | 6.7%11 W · 154 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 77c | 2,292$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 23c | 2,176$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.71 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 10c | 2,121$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 14c | 2,076$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.87 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 24c | 2,012$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.68 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…1ab3backed Yes | 1c | 2,012$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 16c | 1,717$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.44 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…cb18backed Yes | 15c | 1,633$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 5c | 1,630$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 19c | 1,607$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 1,534$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 5c | 1,475$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,458$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…57b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 12c | 1,374$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…16e7backed Yes | 19c | 1,364$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 5c | 1,357$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 17c | 1,350$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…d418backed Yes | 15c | 1,286$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 15c | 1,269$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 30c | 1,268$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed No | 80c | 1,254$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.95 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…6fd2backed Yes | 13c | 1,198$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…a932backed Yes | 16c | 1,179$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,167$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 29c | 1,120$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…c5debacked Yes | 3c | 1,119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 13c | 1,116$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Yes | 12c | 1,113$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…bfd5backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 5c | 1,076$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 15c | 1,060$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 2c | 950$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 9c | 943.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 941.33$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 5c | 909.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…5447backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Yes | 8c | 903.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes | 8c | 903.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 888.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 883.45$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…a03bbacked Yes | 6c | 873.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…a639backed Yes | 3c | 864.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 11c | 842$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Yes | 19c | 826.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 4c | 803.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 9c | 794.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 6c | 778.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 14c | 771.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed Yes | 15c | 770$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 17c | 767.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 17c | 745.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 3c | 733.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes | 15c | 726.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 131 | 16.8%22 W · 109 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 9c | 720.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 16c | 699.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes | 9c | 694.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 301 | 10.3%31 W · 270 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb104…10c9backed Yes | 8c | 641.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…41b0backed Yes | 5c | 640.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 7c | 636.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 19c | 634.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 3c | 621.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.