Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf646446f4027a8a663229862b45c36a7cb98dd42c8dbfda1c5b3d777ac018472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,521$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.76 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 3,046$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.22 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 2,601$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…fdd3backed Yes | 15c | 1,329$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 67c | 865.74$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 32c | 800.04$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.01 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 15c | 643.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 586.16$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cd77backed Yes | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 78c | 335.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c0…47c5backed No | 67c | 296.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 11c | 262.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 252.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…7975backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e7dfbacked No | 65c | 203.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…973fbacked No | 65c | 153.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…a3f7backed Yes | 11c | 150.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…0520backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…3f16backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…da1bbacked No | 65c | 89.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 64c | 75.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c6…09a2backed Yes | 14c | 73.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 79c | 30.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.