TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c1,218$519 inLost-$518.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under45c1,194$534 inLost-$53446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c642.65$279 inLost-$278.743,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over57c600$340 inWon+$260.1620149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Over58c567.24$329 inWon+$238.242161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Over56c499.99$280 inWon+$2204727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon+$150.8811851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Under6c259.99$14 inLost-$14.352035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over51c250$128 inWon+$122.55945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon+$75.444452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Over60c155.03$92 inWon+$62.5721042.4%89 W · 121 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under40c145.57$58 inLost-$57.571,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c129.91$75 inWon+$54.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under42c114$48 inLost-$47.8841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c105.92$49 inLost-$49.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over56c100$56 inWon+$4411846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c91.83$53 inWon+$38.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon+$37.725648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d4…07cebacked Over55c72.11$40 inWon+$32.453060%18 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over61c65.57$40 inWon+$25.578846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c56.34$23 inLost-$22.542,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over55c52.88$29 inWon+$23.81,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed Over56c51.79$29 inWon+$22.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over57c48.26$28 inWon+$20.757545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5988…30f4backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost-$203961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under44c30$13 inLost-$13.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over57c29.19$17 inWon+$12.551376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under43c26.97$12 inLost-$11.562,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9303…cc05backed Over56c21.23$12 inWon+$9.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.