TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked No62c60,831$37,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,127.7521343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c25,486$17,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.594,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes38c24,131$9,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,169.635843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes38c20,020$7,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,607.6817544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No61c15,499$9,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes38c15,179$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7686947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…5a9bbacked Yes34c15,000$5,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Yes38c11,900$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.981957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes38c10,043$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.3623949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c9,980$6,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.361,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c9,582$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No62c8,271$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.9846536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No72c6,299$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.6322348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed No63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c4,657$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c4,470$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.938357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes39c3,534$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes38c3,300$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2541711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes38c2,790$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0941…0239backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Yes39c2,504$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.466132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes9c2,478$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7631644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c2,132$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.011,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed No62c2,130$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Yes38c2,105$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.0710652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Yes38c2,013$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.12227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes20c2,010$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.412729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed No67c1,661$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.4311065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes37c1,639$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.913756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0655…ea73backed Yes31c1,449$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.872544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No63c1,414$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.282,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes36c1,392$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.14327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c1,364$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes38c1,300$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49124533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked No66c1,217$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9510762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No62c1,196$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4230950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No62c1,171$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.011,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes39c1,164$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc67…6f13backed No62c1,112$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.514271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No62c1,020$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes39c1,020$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.87350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes37c999.87$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.954122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No62c995.19$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.171,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c887.09$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0947235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No61c833.73$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2116165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…7651backed Yes34c802.78$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.031118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes39c800$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3098441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes38c789.05$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.61,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed No63c673.02$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.021520%3 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes2c664.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc10…58e2backed Yes5c612.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b98…d011backed No60c610.02$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.011526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Yes7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes39c593.79$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.589033.3%30 W · 60 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes33c593.48$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.858530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes28c573.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.514130.5%43 W · 98 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…a086backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No62c564.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4943635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Yes39c551.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes33c545.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.510527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes38c545$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.116425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes3c543.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes38c534.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes33c529.93$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.971,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…389ebacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…d175backed Yes38c515.29$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.815448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed No63c504.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18522643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No61c499.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes38c499.96$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9916152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked No61c499.95$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9817042.4%72 W · 98 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes31c477.89$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.922226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Yes43c477.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.536952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Yes13c450.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.077025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Yes38c431.39$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.934955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No65c409.98$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.191,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8810940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed No63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.834850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked No63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8324344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed No63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8315227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d4…b10ebacked No62c380.77$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…0b7bbacked Yes38c379.39$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes37c379.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.364630.4%14 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8675…725dbacked No73c368.75$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.561872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+79.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed87…e51bbacked Yes27c368.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c352.95$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.831,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Yes22c345.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.998545.9%39 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes38c339.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1292733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.