Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32672b7358b9310e152998e4881fc31db9f4d865f84c7755760445c438547ed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 62c | 60,831$37,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,127.75 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 25,486$17,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 38c | 24,131$9,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,169.63 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 38c | 20,020$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.68 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 61c | 15,499$9,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 38c | 15,179$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…5a9bbacked Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Yes | 38c | 11,900$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 38c | 10,043$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.36 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 9,980$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 9,582$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 8,271$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.98 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 72c | 6,299$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.63 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed No | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 4,657$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 4,470$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.93 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.93 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 39c | 3,534$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 2,790$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.52 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…0239backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab6…05febacked Yes | 39c | 2,504$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 9c | 2,478$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 2,132$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.01 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…3e17backed No | 62c | 2,130$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Yes | 38c | 2,105$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.07 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Yes | 38c | 2,013$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.1 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 20c | 2,010$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed No | 67c | 1,661$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.43 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 37c | 1,639$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.91 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…ea73backed Yes | 31c | 1,449$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 63c | 1,414$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.28 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 36c | 1,392$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.1 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 1,364$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.51 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 38c | 1,300$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked No | 66c | 1,217$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 62c | 1,196$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.42 | 309 | 50.8%157 W · 152 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 1,171$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.01 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes | 39c | 1,164$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 62c | 1,112$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.51 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 1,020$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 39c | 1,020$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked Yes | 37c | 999.87$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 62c | 995.19$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 62c | 887.09$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.09 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 61c | 833.73$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.21 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7651backed Yes | 34c | 802.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 39c | 800$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 38c | 789.05$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed No | 63c | 673.02$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 2c | 664.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…58e2backed Yes | 5c | 612.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed No | 60c | 610.02$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 39c | 593.79$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 33c | 593.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 28c | 573.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…a086backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 62c | 564.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 39c | 551.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 33c | 545.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 38c | 545$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 3c | 543.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 38c | 534.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 33c | 529.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…389ebacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…d175backed Yes | 38c | 515.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed No | 63c | 504.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 38c | 499.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 61c | 499.95$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 31c | 477.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 43c | 477.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 13c | 450.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Yes | 38c | 431.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 409.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…8266backed No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…b10ebacked No | 62c | 380.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…0b7bbacked Yes | 38c | 379.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 37c | 379.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked No | 73c | 368.75$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…e51bbacked Yes | 27c | 368.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 352.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 22c | 345.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 38c | 339.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.