TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,012 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c682.63$524 inWon+$158.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over33c450$149 inLost-$149.4519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over67c449.73$301 inLost-$301.3219039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c378$198 inWon+$179.942,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c378$198 inWon+$179.942,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa031…ba6bbacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost-$50336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c209$113 inWon+$96.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over19c200$38 inLost-$3811846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over47c190$89 inLost-$89.35945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c161.64$68 inWon+$93.173,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost-$255232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00bb…c45fbacked Over20c58.05$12 inLost-$11.612138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under77c39.78$31 inWon+$9.151,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.