TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde24…25a8backed Yes34c39,282$13,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,319.38244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed No64c19,061$12,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,945.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…abd2backed No61c17,341$10,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,769.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed No72c13,620$9,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yes41c11,902$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed No73c9,566$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…b574backed Yes0c8,482$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e3…4b41backed Yes36c8,449$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes34c8,085$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.49175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2155…b2b3backed No64c7,769$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7286…ed93backed Yes44c6,891$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes36c6,300$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5391…ff4ebacked No68c6,142$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ba…2f10backed Yes46c5,493$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Yes24c5,383$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2365…855ebacked Yes1c5,365$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc174…6941backed No64c5,190$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…07afbacked No66c4,574$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9faa…26f7backed No69c4,280$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd1…6835backed No69c4,218$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5450…5f08backed Yes2c4,093$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed Yes38c4,027$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes22c3,825$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.861315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a05…2ddabacked No74c3,733$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e26…ccfbbacked Yes39c3,368$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f9…d75fbacked Yes35c3,352$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0b…dcdbbacked Yes48c3,154$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…30aabacked Yes35c3,072$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3210…0fc4backed Yes34c2,838$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked No62c2,748$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No66c2,462$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7080…cfa4backed Yes42c2,367$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256c…3046backed No65c2,331$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c64…de66backed No63c2,313$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…3fa1backed Yes35c2,167$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked No65c2,077$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes30c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e95…c0a3backed Yes27c1,978$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No66c1,844$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed No63c1,805$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacd…c1ebbacked Yes29c1,762$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9c…1f9dbacked Yes29c1,710$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes34c1,607$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed No56c1,605$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca8…f7e9backed No63c1,580$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd03…c0b5backed No64c1,527$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x054c…9fc0backed No71c1,411$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd18f…681ebacked Yes43c1,407$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288d…6420backed Yes13c1,405$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x452b…634ebacked No65c1,392$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…0601backed No62c1,333$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes28c1,331$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.431258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482d…3084backed No64c1,328$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…6c46backed Yes37c1,293$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf929…df01backed No70c1,223$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.95333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ca…ac8ebacked Yes29c1,200$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes35c1,196$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No71c1,153$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e5…03bdbacked Yes36c1,132$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes32c1,125$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.494942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…5535backed No62c1,105$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed No70c1,064$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4313…b39ebacked No70c1,050$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes34c999.94$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.451625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes23c962.65$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5de…dd68backed Yes35c926.83$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…1b1dbacked Yes37c910$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c07…c0b9backed Yes35c888.9$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No55c879.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74c…fe69backed Yes39c865.07$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x416e…64a8backed No71c830.58$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes31c827.06$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No64c809.63$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23a…aa7ebacked No62c804.81$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cd…b299backed No63c793.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd103…8037backed No67c749.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8a…89d6backed No67c748.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…247ebacked No67c745.37$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Yes32c730.22$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes37c728.85$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.67837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e4…f310backed No64c722.13$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb232…8709backed Yes42c717.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…88d4backed Yes32c713.36$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…6e53backed Yes36c696.11$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f7…9769backed No58c687.64$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b2…5688backed Yes39c675.38$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed No61c651.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa71…11c7backed No63c649.83$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc0…10e3backed No62c644.73$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5d…09cfbacked No63c631.75$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dc…8bc3backed No65c627.18$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…3116backed Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed No67c599.61$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…9cafbacked Yes34c596.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…fbbfbacked No68c587.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.