Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566b9dfffc1cba6fa7662cff2c31b76b2e65ecd8de3b6d6378cfa34b3a4f69d5

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3915…b03ebacked Under	0c	17,455$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.19	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under	66c	4,059$2,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,678.97	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	63cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	34c	2,476$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,634.33	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	52c	1,440$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.68	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	35c	1,429$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.75	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under	68c	650$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	72cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under	10c	628.15$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.82	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	46c	415.29$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.53	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	65c	399.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over	35c	399.39$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.4	98	26.5%26 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	65c	392.08$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.59	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under	20c	381.03$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.74	111	44.1%49 W · 62 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	65c	272.31$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Under	66c	254.84$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	64c	199.99$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.99	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over	36c	197$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Under	34c	195.21$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.37	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+74.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under	69c	183.75$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.61	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over	32c	154.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.88	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x89ed…42f5backed Over	36c	153.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.13	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+123.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under	67c	150.48$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.82	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	67c	149.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under	68c	147.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	30c	145.63$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	52c	138.65$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.91	114	60.5%69 W · 45 L	+14.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Under	49c	124.72$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	35c	114.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.29	194	36.1%70 W · 124 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Over	72c	111.11$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	65c	110$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	372	50.5%188 W · 184 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Over	41c	108.42$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.58	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	33c	105.2$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.96	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	64c	104.05$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.59	229	47.6%109 W · 120 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over	77c	103.72$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.72	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under	25c	102.78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under	16c	86.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over	43c	86$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.78	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+9.1wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9f84…0458backed Under	28c	84.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	60c	79$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.17	467	42.8%200 W · 267 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x256c…3046backed Over	47c	77$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Under	66c	75.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	25c	67.52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	115	46.1%53 W · 62 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	175	38.9%68 W · 107 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	35c	53.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.57	142	31%44 W · 98 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under	32c	51.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	68c	49$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.52	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over	69c	47$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	34c	45.03$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.58	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under	65c	42.86$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over	34c	38.97$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	171	42.7%73 W · 98 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	67c	37.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	331	44.7%148 W · 183 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under	29c	35.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Under	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over	73c	34.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.32	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Under	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	38c	27.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	65c	21.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	387	44.7%173 W · 214 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…a590backed Over	69c	21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+144.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b8…13a3backed Under	67c	17.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5this page
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event