TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over58c76,557$44,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,153.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over58c40,488$23,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,004.962450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c5,171$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.0898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Under43c4,675$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over58c4,109$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4703650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c2,768$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.822,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over57c2,266$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.099952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under41c1,758$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.923348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…f93cbacked Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under42c433$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over59c406.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7810259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed Over58c345.95$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Under44c329.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8810940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under15c300.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.074139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Under42c297.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Over58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10312049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over57c249.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1213142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under42c237.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under43c218.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Under24c210.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.121546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under21c203.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.792944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under10c191.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcad…a695backed Over59c189.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Over59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492060%12 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over59c165.12$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.063571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over59c164.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.553745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c161$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under43c147.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3111144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over57c141.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.055156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x195b…c181backed Over59c140.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+79.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over58c129.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.366347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Over79c128.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.051275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over59c121.66$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c118.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.642458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.171650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…deabbacked Under43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under41c91.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.359826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Over59c84.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over59c77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.575538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Over58c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb920…7922backed Over79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Under43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8009…ca1bbacked Under43c54.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e0f…a96bbacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over59c50.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6921650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under43c50.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5633144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Over59c44.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under28c41.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2844…5aa1backed Over59c40.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x362b…9534backed Over73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Under42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…48cfbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under41c32.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4914452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under46c32.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea8…9021backed Over58c31.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under45c31.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over59c31.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Under47c30.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.552254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Under43c29.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Over58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick63cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01dc…1839backed Under43c23.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Over59c22.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bca…dcaabacked Over54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.742665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over67c17.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb11a…023cbacked Over58c17.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc301…c243backed Over59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.