TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Phoenix Mercury
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e44…f14dbacked Phoenix Mercury0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury67c12,736$8,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,540.2999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Phoenix Mercury64c12,280$7,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,806.7522748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Lynx33c9,077$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.486851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx35c5,255$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.841,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Minnesota Lynx28c4,847$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490.111545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Phoenix Mercury69c3,043$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Lynx30c2,958$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.0636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury67c2,546$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.771,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Phoenix Mercury79c1,923$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury45c1,920$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.2855255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Phoenix Mercury53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.696956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Minnesota Lynx32c1,496$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.041643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Phoenix Mercury63c1,415$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.366549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Phoenix Mercury68c1,337$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.988762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Minnesota Lynx37c1,266$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Phoenix Mercury1c1,133$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6124852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Minnesota Lynx51c1,122$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Minnesota Lynx29c1,003$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7712745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x531b…6022backed Minnesota Lynx35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Minnesota Lynx29c855.21$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Minnesota Lynx47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.066051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bf…492ebacked Minnesota Lynx34c830$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Phoenix Mercury62c802.22$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.996237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Lynx32c786.22$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2826147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15fb…d13abacked Phoenix Mercury79c754.99$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick78cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Minnesota Lynx34c750$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0115250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Minnesota Lynx40c681$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8612045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Minnesota Lynx36c664.31$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.519549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Phoenix Mercury55c653.97$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Minnesota Lynx47c600$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Minnesota Lynx25c562.65$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.651936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Minnesota Lynx36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick35cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Phoenix Mercury3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9390%0 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Phoenix Mercury66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Phoenix Mercury73c454.01$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.432552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Minnesota Lynx37c452.3$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.959044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Minnesota Lynx34c440.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Minnesota Lynx38c399.93$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9613024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Phoenix Mercury80c375.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Phoenix Mercury65c369.15$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Lynx47c356.73$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0710858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Phoenix Mercury67c356.38$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Minnesota Lynx26c348.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.443647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Lynx44c335.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4634753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx46c330.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Phoenix Mercury54c322.91$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.277929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Lynx45c320.59$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.413528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Minnesota Lynx31c317.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4931043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Phoenix Mercury65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Phoenix Mercury71c303.24$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2de…e4bdbacked Minnesota Lynx22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+355.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury51c289.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6531847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Phoenix Mercury64c287.61$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1313358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury47c260.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0419428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Phoenix Mercury74c256.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Minnesota Lynx41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Minnesota Lynx28c245.71$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.912343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Phoenix Mercury41c230$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Minnesota Lynx28c225$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Minnesota Lynx36c220$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Phoenix Mercury68c208.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-65.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Lynx44c202.37$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0436454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Minnesota Lynx36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Phoenix Mercury50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+106%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Minnesota Lynx28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Minnesota Lynx19c187.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.931450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Phoenix Mercury53c186.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Phoenix Mercury69c181.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2915346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Lynx61c163.91$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.114156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Minnesota Lynx30c152.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5920642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Phoenix Mercury65c150.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.146127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Minnesota Lynx36c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12b…a7aebacked Phoenix Mercury67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Minnesota Lynx16c146$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+203.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury59c143.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3137850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Minnesota Lynx35c136.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.019743.3%42 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…667dbacked Phoenix Mercury68c126.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.352867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Minnesota Lynx54c126.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx27c125.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9789349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Minnesota Lynx21c120$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.84148.8%20 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Minnesota Lynx21c120$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.84746.8%22 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Phoenix Mercury67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Phoenix Mercury60c119$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Phoenix Mercury60c118.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8814936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Lynx35c117.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4614942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3d…e042backed Phoenix Mercury65c112.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.22540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Minnesota Lynx40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Lynx36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6421337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Minnesota Lynx38c99.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.951850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Phoenix Mercury65c98.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Phoenix Mercury70c96.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9918844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Lynx28c95.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.132339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Minnesota Lynx54c93.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Phoenix Mercury72c90.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Phoenix Mercury65c88.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.762133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Minnesota Lynx62c84.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2512355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Minnesota Lynx34c82.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.944854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Phoenix Mercury59c81.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Minnesota Lynx31c80.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.