Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de8a0b1185e3f0360d24adb764b4c1f6753916d13721e1081b868cb4a523d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58a6…b9debacked Over | 50c | 4,963$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 52c | 2,713$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.26 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,640$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,221$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 1,043$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 49c | 1,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 959.91$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 700.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 50c | 649.38$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 609.05$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.34 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 49c | 607.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 561.36$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 423.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 54c | 411.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 49c | 405.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 50c | 375.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 43c | 293.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 245.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 225.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 209.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 200.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 50c | 200.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 150.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 149.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 127.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 125.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 52c | 119.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 54c | 108.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 54c | 101.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 100.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 43c | 99.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 76.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 65.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 50c | 61.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 44c | 61.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 50c | 53.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 52c | 49.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Under | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 34.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 22.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.