Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e6580cc152805ab5dc58f873b082ed2e49f35dfb1cccd054fffb1e84889fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, Gil Vicente FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gil Vicente FC | 51c | 10,589$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Sporting CP | 50c | 10,449$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Gil Vicente FC | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Sporting CP | 36c | 386.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 253.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sporting CP | 37c | 231.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sporting CP | 42c | 231.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Gil Vicente FC | 57c | 192.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gil Vicente FC | 63c | 189.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Sporting CP | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sporting CP | 35c | 137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 126.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Sporting CP | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 106.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Sporting CP | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Sporting CP | 37c | 104.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Sporting CP | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Sporting CP | 50c | 99.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gil Vicente FC | 65c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Gil Vicente FC | 62c | 75.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Gil Vicente FC | 65c | 69.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sporting CP | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 54.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Gil Vicente FC | 51c | 52.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Sporting CP | 49c | 43.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Sporting CP | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Gil Vicente FC | 38c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Sporting CP | 49c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sporting CP | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 28.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sporting CP | 50c | 26.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Gil Vicente FC | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Gil Vicente FC | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Gil Vicente FC | 50c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Gil Vicente FC | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.