Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6058ed161f7976c69b02329869c98df3b413e0b0575d449feb98b22577f27c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, Gil Vicente FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gil Vicente FC | 36c | 1,225$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sporting CP | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sporting CP | 62c | 809.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Sporting CP | 59c | 734$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gil Vicente FC | 38c | 553.54$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Sporting CP | 61c | 410.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Gil Vicente FC | 41c | 368.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Gil Vicente FC | 39c | 358.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Sporting CP | 62c | 350.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Gil Vicente FC | 38c | 328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gil Vicente FC | 39c | 312.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Gil Vicente FC | 29c | 278.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Sporting CP | 61c | 244.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Gil Vicente FC | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Sporting CP | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Gil Vicente FC | 38c | 209$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Sporting CP | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Sporting CP | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Sporting CP | 60c | 166.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Sporting CP | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Gil Vicente FC | 40c | 150.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Gil Vicente FC | 38c | 150.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Sporting CP | 61c | 128.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Sporting CP | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gil Vicente FC | 40c | 103.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Sporting CP | 60c | 101.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Sporting CP | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Gil Vicente FC | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gil Vicente FC | 40c | 91.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Sporting CP | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Gil Vicente FC | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Sporting CP | 71c | 69.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gil Vicente FC | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Sporting CP | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Sporting CP | 60c | 38.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gil Vicente FC | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sporting CP | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Gil Vicente FC | 41c | 25.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Sporting CP | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Gil Vicente FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.