MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa18d57972442569975adf09e35b8171718f423a0748e5f9af650ac3b65451ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $837,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $980,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 123,875$58,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,683.55 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 106,412$47,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,339.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 93,092$48,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,323.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,799.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 60,000$41,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,199.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 54,358$28,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,810 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 22,911$4,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 17,500$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,275 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 16,701$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.88 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 12,933$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 11c | 10,739$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 10,475$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,971.01 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 9,888$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 9,067$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.2 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 6,792$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.68 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 6,479$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.47 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 6,282$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.62 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,737$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 5,248$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 4,789$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 3,474$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 2,813$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked Kansas City Royals | 3c | 2,209$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 2,087$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 2,064$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,949$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 1,697$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,559$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.62 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,468$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.38 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,439$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 1,300$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.6 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 1,233$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…2ca3backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,153$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 1,142$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 1,091$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,034$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.88 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 1,008$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 968.57$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.18 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 852.12$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 847.26$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 778$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 714.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 708.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 659$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 3c | 600.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 599.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 577$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 542$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 517.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.37 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 497.69$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 466.94$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 463.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 442$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 434.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 418.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 389.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 382.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 379.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 369.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 368.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 317.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…bf8cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 304.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 304.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 297$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 291.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 274$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…e9d9backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 272.74$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 265.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 264.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b43…f54bbacked Kansas City Royals | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 248.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.