MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46dd0318043fa15694e33f2fad41182dfef42763db25f5e295754b972fe5c1bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 48c | 20,781$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,806 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Over | 57c | 12,749$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.37 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 9,841$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 9,030$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.08 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 6,650$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 49c | 6,133$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 4,484$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 52c | 4,235$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 50c | 3,152$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 51c | 2,314$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.46 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 1c | 1,689$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,650$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.82 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 38c | 1,193$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 1,163$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 63c | 822.59$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 790.71$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.26 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 702.5$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 655.96$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.54 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 52c | 619.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.14 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 77c | 601$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 520$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 401.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 399.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 52c | 354.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 60c | 306$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5d7abacked Under | 52c | 282.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 5c | 274$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 273$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…79b9backed Under | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 47c | 262.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 52c | 250.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 240$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 51c | 223.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 50c | 207.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 200.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 60c | 168$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 67c | 160$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 150.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 147$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 139.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 44c | 136.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 75c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 52c | 98.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 76c | 61.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 51c | 59.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 50c | 56.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9d38backed Over | 66c | 54.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 44c | 53.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Under | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 68c | 45.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 42.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.