TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion: Mert Alkaya vs Yusuke Takahashi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yusuke Takahashiof Mert Alkaya, Yusuke Takahashi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…f328backed Mert Alkaya55c4,599$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5407040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mert Alkaya36c3,787$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yusuke Takahashi67c3,580$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.936,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mert Alkaya65c3,244$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.438,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yusuke Takahashi68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.887,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed Yusuke Takahashi66c1,500$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Yusuke Takahashi70c1,427$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8429754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Yusuke Takahashi29c1,195$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.333836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Yusuke Takahashi35c1,135$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.5737738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Mert Alkaya71c1,118$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.6753843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mert Alkaya72c1,098$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.421,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yusuke Takahashi59c1,087$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.34,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yusuke Takahashi69c1,026$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.011,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…8be3backed Yusuke Takahashi69c976.57$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.343372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Yusuke Takahashi64c900$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3249760.8%59 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mert Alkaya37c878.12$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.712,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Mert Alkaya40c758.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Yusuke Takahashi68c734.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.171,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yusuke Takahashi28c693.56$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.383,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mert Alkaya30c679.04$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.474,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Mert Alkaya30c667.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mert Alkaya74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3709,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yusuke Takahashi68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1823159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Yusuke Takahashi65c414$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0312249.2%60 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yusuke Takahashi61c407.32$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.932,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Yusuke Takahashi66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5222152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yusuke Takahashi28c351.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8157842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mert Alkaya13c332.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.194,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Mert Alkaya46c323.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.130131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Mert Alkaya29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8714835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Yusuke Takahashi28c287.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.314657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Mert Alkaya72c273.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.271,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yusuke Takahashi28c260$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.223247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mert Alkaya36c251.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4466834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mert Alkaya42c240.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mert Alkaya26c226.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.541,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mert Alkaya34c218.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.836,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yusuke Takahashi47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1072,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Mert Alkaya20c180.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.643349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Yusuke Takahashi50c179$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.631436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Yusuke Takahashi26c165.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.44,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Mert Alkaya63c157.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.979152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b753backed Yusuke Takahashi61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.514369.2%99 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yusuke Takahashi57c144.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.468,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yusuke Takahashi68c134.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4522540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Mert Alkaya37c130.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9785624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Mert Alkaya73c125.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.471,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Mert Alkaya20c120.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Yusuke Takahashi67c114.61$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.826755.2%37 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yusuke Takahashi33c102.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yusuke Takahashi49c101.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.013,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Yusuke Takahashi60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mert Alkaya71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7152750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yusuke Takahashi25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yusuke Takahashi53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Mert Alkaya71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7156062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Mert Alkaya39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3927132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Mert Alkaya55c99.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9913743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yusuke Takahashi36c84.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Yusuke Takahashi59c77.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4819474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Mert Alkaya64c75.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.071,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yusuke Takahashi45c73.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.333,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mert Alkaya53c71.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.495,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Mert Alkaya71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Mert Alkaya72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Mert Alkaya37c69.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.672,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Mert Alkaya73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yusuke Takahashi28c61.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.599913.1%13 W · 86 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Mert Alkaya32c57.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Mert Alkaya27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Mert Alkaya25c53.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.241,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Yusuke Takahashi65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.526563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a9…1bf1backed Yusuke Takahashi24c48.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.542665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yusuke Takahashi45c47.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.012,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed Yusuke Takahashi66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.458248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked Yusuke Takahashi67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7810554.3%57 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Mert Alkaya32c44.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.091,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4166…4f83backed Mert Alkaya34c44.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512938.8%50 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Mert Alkaya57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf1c…ec86backed Yusuke Takahashi46c42.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Yusuke Takahashi68c42.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Mert Alkaya73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfca4…e183backed Mert Alkaya62c40.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1513040%52 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Mert Alkaya72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.842353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…7d89backed Yusuke Takahashi68c37.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.869463.8%60 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Yusuke Takahashi68c35.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.283151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Yusuke Takahashi67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.635187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yusuke Takahashi48c34.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.866560%39 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Yusuke Takahashi30c33.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4821838.1%83 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Yusuke Takahashi30c33.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mert Alkaya41c32.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.496,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4c…3f12backed Mert Alkaya56c32.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Mert Alkaya38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.782,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…22e9backed Yusuke Takahashi65c30.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.897846.2%36 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yusuke Takahashi66c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.123554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yusuke Takahashi36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Yusuke Takahashi38c29.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1932732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Mert Alkaya72c27.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7978350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked Mert Alkaya58c26.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.384042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mert Alkaya65c26.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.981,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.