CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fc207ba0ad2efb02bd7cac69cbc98adfa0762ab115014cf9972ae8b87a3780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Alliance, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 21c | 1,453$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance | 21c | 1,207$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 74c | 949.22$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Alliance | 17c | 600$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 72c | 541.8$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance | 21c | 524.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 77c | 452.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…03b2backed Monte | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Monte | 77c | 298.24$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Alliance | 36c | 269.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Monte | 69c | 254.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Monte | 76c | 181.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Monte | 56c | 174.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Monte | 52c | 164.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Monte | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 45c | 143.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…292bbacked Monte | 71c | 126.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Monte | 67c | 123.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…cffabacked Alliance | 17c | 110.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…d993backed Alliance | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Alliance | 49c | 99.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 79c | 95.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Alliance | 48c | 89.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Monte | 70c | 88.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Alliance | 48c | 78.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Alliance | 40c | 77.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Alliance | 39c | 77.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 31c | 76.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Monte | 72c | 72.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte | 60c | 61.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alliance | 44c | 59.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Monte | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Alliance | 35c | 57.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance | 39c | 54.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed Monte | 69c | 50.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monte | 58c | 45.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Monte | 70c | 43.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Monte | 57c | 42.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Alliance | 48c | 38.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Monte | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Monte | 52c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Monte | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…1fc7backed Monte | 61c | 16.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…f377backed Monte | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.