TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Alliance, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Monte48c54,887$26,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,536.5339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Alliance52c48,560$25,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,251.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Alliance0c43,826$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Alliance50c16,189$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,100.4572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Monte49c12,166$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.6118550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Monte49c11,685$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,906.8929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Monte50c4,985$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.5619645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…bdf6backed Alliance51c4,705$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Alliance45c3,936$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.9736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Alliance51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.64261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Alliance52c1,763$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.4627459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Alliance1c1,427$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Monte60c1,361$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.883,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance50c1,340$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Alliance36c1,301$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.851,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Alliance52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.8713850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alliance24c1,276$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.485,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Alliance51c1,116$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance52c993.58$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.051,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Alliance52c934.33$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.634551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Monte50c905.15$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.819554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte62c886.73$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.634,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte72c716.13$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Monte50c674.8$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.43164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Alliance50c602$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30197040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Alliance51c590$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.99656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Alliance52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.366933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Alliance52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58be…e6d7backed Monte50c554.55$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.273754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Alliance2c527.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Alliance52c520.08$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.447946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Alliance51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Alliance53c499.66$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8222734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Alliance49c494.24$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0485446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance55c441.06$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.231,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd7…33d9backed Monte48c410.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a8…d529backed Alliance51c407.72$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Alliance33c395.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.855950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Alliance4c391.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9131328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte63c384.39$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.231,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte50c339.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Alliance47c313.16$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Alliance50c303.87$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8711646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Monte49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3518454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Monte48c296.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9918041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Monte50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.532344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Monte45c284.6$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5311247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6df…1cf4backed Monte53c277.95$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.697041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Monte47c257.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1711745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed Monte61c256.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.585446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Monte51c253.02$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9844343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance28c237.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.832,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte68c213.15$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.267,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd925…cffabacked Monte46c210.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Alliance50c206.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4311651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Alliance39c204.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8940635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Monte72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5639258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Monte50c199.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alliance28c199.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.422,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Alliance50c199.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.78444%37 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Monte49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Alliance52c196.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4118043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Alliance51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Monte51c189.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd238…ad7fbacked Alliance52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Monte50c184.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1520358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Monte69c182.28$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.311,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Alliance51c180.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1733352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Monte57c170.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Alliance50c167.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7333459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Alliance52c163.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8940247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Monte69c160.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0683543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8581…e74dbacked Monte70c159.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.243360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Alliance27c146.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0924747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc939…6e0fbacked Alliance51c146.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.749044.4%40 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alliance22c127.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0446344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Alliance30c126.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9969732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Monte49c126.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.271,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Alliance50c121.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.571,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Monte50c116.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.233060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Monte48c116.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4528046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Monte49c108.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.491952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed Alliance18c105.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0223751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a9e4backed Monte49c104.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.123237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte77c101.94$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked Alliance17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Alliance51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5138452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Alliance35c98.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.411,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Alliance52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.515056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Alliance51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.548943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Monte50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.527754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a0…1145backed Monte50c91.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Alliance57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7112746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Alliance63c82.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8244244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Monte52c75.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9740050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Monte63c73.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6949376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xf562…8f25backed Monte79c69.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f2…f5e7backed Monte50c67.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9510752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Alliance42c67.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5115638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.