CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc71e17d92249760f9d07e375d051f0a726ae60ecb068ec22396d830c376e707d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Alliance, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 65c | 1,130$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 64c | 963.48$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 38c | 933.65$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Monte | 64c | 787.87$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.49 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 59c | 724.14$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Alliance | 31c | 704.24$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Monte | 69c | 686.13$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 35c | 681.17$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Alliance | 63c | 617.7$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Alliance | 52c | 561.58$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed Monte | 47c | 551.87$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Alliance | 41c | 511.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Monte | 66c | 471.04$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Alliance | 52c | 443.38$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Monte | 46c | 442.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Monte | 66c | 395.8$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Alliance | 42c | 344.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Monte | 35c | 326.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte | 62c | 323.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Monte | 75c | 322.12$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Alliance | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Alliance | 67c | 296.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Alliance | 39c | 259.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Alliance | 62c | 212.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Monte | 72c | 174$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance | 28c | 141.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Monte | 28c | 140$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Monte | 65c | 126.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Alliance | 44c | 118.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Alliance | 34c | 118.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 32c | 102.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Monte | 66c | 96.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Monte | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Alliance | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Monte | 65c | 74.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Monte | 66c | 69.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Monte | 71c | 68.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Monte | 63c | 68.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Alliance | 58c | 64.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Monte | 57c | 58.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Alliance | 46c | 52.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Alliance | 44c | 52.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Monte | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Monte | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Monte | 65c | 47.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Monte | 32c | 43.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 54c | 42.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Alliance | 64c | 42.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed Alliance | 41c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed Alliance | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Monte | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Monte | 65c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.