Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a28a34a811f3ea91362b10f5cbc20fc0e0a1451b6ea94829ed50f2b35f5f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melser Kindergartenof ShindeN, Melser Kindergarten
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Melser Kindergarten | 47c | 3,673$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.82 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Melser Kindergarten | 40c | 1,957$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN | 45c | 1,486$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.32 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 60c | 1,414$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.21 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Melser Kindergarten | 38c | 1,048$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked ShindeN | 61c | 730.01$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.18 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked ShindeN | 56c | 443.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…03b2backed ShindeN | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed ShindeN | 60c | 376.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ShindeN | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Melser Kindergarten | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Melser Kindergarten | 62c | 299.14$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Melser Kindergarten | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ShindeN | 34c | 211.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Melser Kindergarten | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Melser Kindergarten | 65c | 197.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked ShindeN | 46c | 191.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ShindeN | 64c | 167.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Melser Kindergarten | 39c | 167$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ShindeN | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed ShindeN | 64c | 159.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Melser Kindergarten | 43c | 127.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Melser Kindergarten | 58c | 123.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Melser Kindergarten | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ShindeN | 34c | 108.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Melser Kindergarten | 41c | 107.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Melser Kindergarten | 52c | 100.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Melser Kindergarten | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed Melser Kindergarten | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked ShindeN | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Melser Kindergarten | 60c | 91.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ShindeN | 43c | 90.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ShindeN | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked ShindeN | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ShindeN | 44c | 67.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Melser Kindergarten | 33c | 65.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ShindeN | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Melser Kindergarten | 35c | 57.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ShindeN | 26c | 57.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…a9cfbacked ShindeN | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed ShindeN | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed ShindeN | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed ShindeN | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…39dfbacked Melser Kindergarten | 44c | 49.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Melser Kindergarten | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ShindeN | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ShindeN | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Melser Kindergarten | 45c | 37.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked ShindeN | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ShindeN | 60c | 35.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked ShindeN | 38c | 33.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Melser Kindergarten | 38c | 31.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed ShindeN | 64c | 31.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed ShindeN | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO5) - VCL Latin America South PlayoffsMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 4 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.