Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc477d847942962593d816c7ec956d05ecb9afc171c541620f39ec6201990eecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Melser Kindergarten
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Melser Kindergarten | 50c | 1,701$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.27 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Melser Kindergarten | 57c | 935.23$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.47 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 71c | 430.35$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed ShindeN | 59c | 335.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ShindeN | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed ShindeN | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Melser Kindergarten | 17c | 227$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Melser Kindergarten | 11c | 213.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed Melser Kindergarten | 48c | 210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Melser Kindergarten | 49c | 204.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed ShindeN | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…03b2backed ShindeN | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed ShindeN | 36c | 174.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ShindeN | 38c | 171.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 46c | 139.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Melser Kindergarten | 51c | 131.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Melser Kindergarten | 40c | 111.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Melser Kindergarten | 59c | 103.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed ShindeN | 30c | 103.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked ShindeN | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ShindeN | 38c | 95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Melser Kindergarten | 57c | 84.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ShindeN | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked ShindeN | 33c | 78.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ShindeN | 50c | 76.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ShindeN | 52c | 68.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…36febacked ShindeN | 29c | 59.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Melser Kindergarten | 26c | 57.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Melser Kindergarten | 60c | 41.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…a9cfbacked ShindeN | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed ShindeN | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked ShindeN | 44c | 27.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed ShindeN | 46c | 26.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ShindeN | 47c | 25.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…fc54backed Melser Kindergarten | 63c | 18.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO5) - VCL Latin America South PlayoffsMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 3 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 4 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.