Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0e16605c93c15296a005c38aa9a8c425c31c4e5de44769a4a93a4bf4eb5755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melser Kindergartenof ShindeN, Melser Kindergarten
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked ShindeN | 57c | 3,673$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.58 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Melser Kindergarten | 62c | 2,994$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.73 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Melser Kindergarten | 45c | 2,066$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.16 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Melser Kindergarten | 38c | 1,810$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.51 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN | 51c | 1,400$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Melser Kindergarten | 39c | 599.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Melser Kindergarten | 31c | 562$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.78 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ShindeN | 62c | 540.67$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.66 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ShindeN | 65c | 466.23$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.06 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked ShindeN | 62c | 403$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Melser Kindergarten | 37c | 399.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ShindeN | 53c | 333.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed ShindeN | 66c | 285.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Melser Kindergarten | 38c | 280.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ShindeN | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Melser Kindergarten | 37c | 243$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Melser Kindergarten | 39c | 128.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ShindeN | 67c | 120$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Melser Kindergarten | 37c | 112$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ShindeN | 40c | 103.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Melser Kindergarten | 37c | 100.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ShindeN | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked ShindeN | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed ShindeN | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ShindeN | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ShindeN | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ShindeN | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ShindeN | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Melser Kindergarten | 28c | 54.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Melser Kindergarten | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ShindeN | 64c | 28.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO5) - VCL Latin America South PlayoffsMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 3 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 4 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.