Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd042ae3e62b2e4d1ffa4b8c9a41d537e5fa99ecb383f7aa3bc53d43ad7f42372

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $892,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $888,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	41c	32,953$13,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,560.12	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	19,237$3,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,215.13	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	47c	14,026$6,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,497.13	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	67c	12,653$8,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,114.61	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	7c	11,729$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.5	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	29c	11,720$3,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,321.78	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	24c	8,654$2,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,609.15	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	12c	7,244$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,396.88	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	63c	6,620$4,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,446.87	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	20c	6,472$1,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,148	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	0c	5,944$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	15c	5,383$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,578.54	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	29c	5,310$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,760	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	74c	5,100$3,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.82	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed No	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	80c	4,967$3,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.36	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	38c	4,837$1,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,014.18	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	34c	4,827$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.02	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	5c	4,750$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.25	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	54c	4,682$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,131.61	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	73c	4,674$3,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.46	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	4,658$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,121.92	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	39c	4,239$1,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,575.69	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	63c	4,029$2,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.81	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	17c	3,875$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,197.35	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	37c	3,830$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431.43	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	16c	3,720$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,118.91	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	58c	3,639$2,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,516.3	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	9c	3,638$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,323.75	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	19c	3,541$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850.81	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…746fbacked No	74c	3,439$2,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,542.55	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	17c	3,352$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,775.85	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	48c	3,334$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.47	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	9c	3,332$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.87	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	67c	3,293$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,196.12	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	33c	3,154$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.25	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Yes	38c	3,130$1,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.63	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	3,058$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,774.77	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	14c	3,031$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,613.37	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.99	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	48c	2,761$1,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,447.03	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	2,672$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,435.48	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	20c	2,518$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,003.52	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes	20c	2,513$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.67	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…c151backed Yes	67c	2,481$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.1	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	12c	2,475$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.67	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	10c	2,400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	2,368$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,098.42	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	53c	2,300$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.13	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	24c	2,256$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.36	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Yes	38c	2,170$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340.1	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	10c	2,157$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,945.24	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	47c	2,154$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.65	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	28c	2,124$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.99	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	68c	2,019$1,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.91	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked No	7c	2,009$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.86	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	38c	2,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.99	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed No	9c	1,996$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.78	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	46c	1,929$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.94	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	15c	1,811$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,533.87	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	30c	1,807$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.54	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	26c	1,774$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311.54	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	8c	1,729$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.11	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	72c	1,703$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.29	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	15c	1,699$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.51	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	54c	1,695$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.39	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed No	1c	1,683$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	67c	1,674$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.24	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	8c	1,634$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.23	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	8c	1,616$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,482.07	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	1,559$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460.12	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	65c	1,527$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.75	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	59c	1,517$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.13	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	61c	1,512$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.97	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	14c	1,510$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.97	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…2004backed Yes	12c	1,505$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.76	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	8c	1,504$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.45	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	9c	1,500$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,365	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2e…4257backed Yes	74c	1,461$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.59	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	53c	1,456$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.23	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Yes	69c	1,454$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d4…6d35backed Yes	67c	1,444$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.81	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	57c	1,424$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.01	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	77c	1,423$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.25	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d02…bf46backed Yes	74c	1,400$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	58c	1,272$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.93	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	57c	1,259$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.63	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0369…70b7backed Yes	68c	1,211$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	11c	1,209$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.61	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	49c	1,181$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.67	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0759…a93dbacked Yes	70c	1,166$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.37	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd187…c76cbacked Yes	12c	1,154$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.32	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	6c	1,135$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.46	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	15c	1,129$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.22	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	70c	1,123$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.08	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e6…819fbacked No	10c	1,084$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.43	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	8c	1,076$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.87	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	8c	1,064$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.39	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…04a0backed Yes	70c	1,047$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.18	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event