CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52179a3c4e3c1519e04241955d59a285c69ec26449371d235e3fcf05d29bdc9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof DashSkins, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 45c | 2,400$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.8 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Keyd | 34c | 2,051$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.56 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked DashSkins | 66c | 1,994$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.62 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 44c | 1,856$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.95 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 42c | 1,519$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.14 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Keyd | 59c | 1,444$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.82 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 30c | 1,433$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.08 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DashSkins | 41c | 1,207$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 71c | 1,160$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed DashSkins | 45c | 991.05$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 56c | 863.12$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.09 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed DashSkins | 38c | 827.58$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd | 56c | 737.15$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.53 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked DashSkins | 48c | 639.05$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed DashSkins | 66c | 557.42$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DashSkins | 51c | 540.81$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.33 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 33c | 510.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DashSkins | 29c | 496.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed DashSkins | 41c | 377.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed DashSkins | 19c | 373.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed DashSkins | 67c | 370.81$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked DashSkins | 60c | 355.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed DashSkins | 58c | 354.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd | 70c | 256.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Keyd | 32c | 246.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed DashSkins | 58c | 236.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked DashSkins | 61c | 208.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked DashSkins | 60c | 206.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Keyd | 41c | 202.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Keyd | 77c | 192.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DashSkins | 24c | 185.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DashSkins | 51c | 184.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keyd | 33c | 179$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Keyd | 80c | 174.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Keyd | 62c | 172.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DashSkins | 40c | 151.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked DashSkins | 66c | 141$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed DashSkins | 66c | 141$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed DashSkins | 66c | 141$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked DashSkins | 45c | 139.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Keyd | 72c | 137.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd | 45c | 133.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Keyd | 30c | 119.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed DashSkins | 39c | 119.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Keyd | 42c | 116.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed DashSkins | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Keyd | 71c | 105.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DashSkins | 59c | 103.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Keyd | 34c | 93.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked DashSkins | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DashSkins | 63c | 87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Keyd | 32c | 72.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked DashSkins | 63c | 68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 27c | 67.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Keyd | 69c | 66.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed DashSkins | 66c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed DashSkins | 39c | 63.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Keyd | 32c | 60.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked DashSkins | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keyd | 32c | 58.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked DashSkins | 46c | 55.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked DashSkins | 39c | 54.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed DashSkins | 44c | 54.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dce…cd04backed Keyd | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Keyd | 52c | 49.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked DashSkins | 66c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked DashSkins | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed DashSkins | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Keyd | 71c | 39.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…3f00backed Keyd | 45c | 38.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Keyd | 30c | 36.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed DashSkins | 42c | 35.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked DashSkins | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…feb2backed Keyd | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked DashSkins | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked DashSkins | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed DashSkins | 66c | 27.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…3b80backed Keyd | 58c | 27.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 76c | 26.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed DashSkins | 46c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…2a2dbacked DashSkins | 55c | 22.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed DashSkins | 63c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Keyd | 48c | 21.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked DashSkins | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Keyd | 67c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed DashSkins | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed DashSkins | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerDashSkins won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.