TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$485,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under53c366,086$194,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,290.6387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over47c160,000$74,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,599.9926253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c100,094$48,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,700.941,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over46c74,873$34,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,431.666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under52c32,277$16,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,706.5543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c25,913$12,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,379.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,428$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c5,092$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.851,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over47c4,697$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.524214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0806939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c3,436$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c3,155$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over79c2,474$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.711090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+272.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,775$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.382,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over47c1,360$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.814640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c1,325$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.931,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under56c1,279$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.051,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c1,152$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c1,147$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c983.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c962.44$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under51c951$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3110457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c862.23$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.71,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4241,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c769.99$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Under53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c674.2$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c605.64$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.7981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under21c602$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under26c587.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c581.84$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Under50c574.83$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.422133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Under52c514.27$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.788155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under51c501.54$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over60c498.97$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.822281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over48c484.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under51c484.02$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.777153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under51c478.75$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.642352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under52c474.59$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5114852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Over48c404.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over72c368.51$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.992195.2%20 W · 1 L+6.8wins+0.32per pick63cpaid+94.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under25c350$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under25c349.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.57441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under25c349.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.58040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over48c349.33$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7318055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under34c345$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over48c316.2$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0911855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c314.53$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under22c259.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.931238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c254.62$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over54c218.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.462277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over15c210.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Over35c210$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Over77c203.19$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510100%10 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Over48c201.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7815253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c199.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1635052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c198.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9729345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under54c192.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over48c186.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Over48c186.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4113751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over50c183.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c179.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over48c167.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4415453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under21c166.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0726639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over49c148.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5521753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Over49c148.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.554146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under65c148.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.886341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over46c146.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.944050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under54c143.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under52c138.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.471,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over33c136.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4812227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under62c133.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0710850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under54c132.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1915252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c131.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.281,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8563…5e98backed Over69c130.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.465100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over49c126.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9126450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under31c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over50c119.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under21c119$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.775334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over47c116.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.211354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Over49c115.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1710656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c115.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.611,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over47c111.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.861952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under57c110$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over49c109.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.217155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under21c106$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2613837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over47c102.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0615651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c101.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c100.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.