TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6bb…6b39backed Yes15c2,925$447 inLost-$446.858040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691f…b933backed Yes4c2,792$116 inLost-$115.92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73cd…c247backed Yes1c2,228$30 inLost-$30.12248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-82.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Yes17c1,555$267 inLost-$266.7511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Yes17c1,555$267 inLost-$266.757441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes21c1,340$282 inLost-$282.4478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Yes26c989$259 inLost-$258.5933030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Yes29c894$256 inLost-$255.5880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Yes9c888$80 inLost-$79.9229810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Yes20c868$170 inLost-$169.784835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Yes7c832$58 inLost-$58.2412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Yes21c784$165 inLost-$165.1613837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Yes22c772$173 inLost-$173.0840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Yes20c675$138 inLost-$137.6145544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yes17c400$67 inLost-$6731238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Yes19c365$70 inLost-$70.1316640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Yes19c365$68 inLost-$67.7323441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Yes14c293$40 inLost-$39.6521242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…30fcbacked Yes10c287.57$29 inLost-$28.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Yes7c166$12 inLost-$11.625334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Yes24c163$39 inLost-$38.7324936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ed…29a3backed Yes10c152.76$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No75c15.01$11 inWon+$3.7539265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.