TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Nets50c86,148$43,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,029.587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nets50c50,907$25,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,454.3466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Wizards51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,399.9360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nets49c24,730$12,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,612.0936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Wizards49c20,251$9,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,922.8217646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards51c15,208$7,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,731.9574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards51c13,827$7,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,038.5272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards51c12,572$6,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,411.721,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets49c11,814$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,025.181,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets48c9,745$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,043.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets55c8,866$4,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,001.5242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Wizards50c7,878$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,939.175947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb12…47c2backed Wizards50c7,689$3,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards48c7,460$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5811,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards50c7,398$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards49c6,500$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Wizards52c5,603$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.620843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Wizards50c5,517$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.687852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Wizards49c5,460$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.4137539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Wizards51c5,000$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Nets51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.9917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards44c4,313$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.471,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Wizards50c4,253$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.7330446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Wizards50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Wizards50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9401,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Wizards52c3,837$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.5827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards51c3,487$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.1687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wizards52c3,389$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.231,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards49c3,347$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Nets49c3,300$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6721770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Nets52c2,754$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.7812257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards50c2,563$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.3770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Wizards50c2,498$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.0414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards50c2,387$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.662,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Wizards48c2,149$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.388839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Wizards50c2,037$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed Nets48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7946145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards50c1,751$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.4395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards49c1,727$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets49c1,643$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.7380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards50c1,566$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Wizards52c1,494$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.9621152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards50c1,452$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.351,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards41c1,424$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.333,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Nets49c1,385$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.2821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Nets49c1,385$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.286058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Wizards1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Wizards2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Wizards50c1,142$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.8516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards47c1,120$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.91,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Wizards51c1,069$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Wizards2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Wizards2c950$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Nets51c779.24$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9510457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nets52c702.03$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.681,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets49c689.49$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets49c689.36$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nets52c647.77$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets52c617.79$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Wizards51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Nets53c471.08$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Wizards16c450$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Wizards52c447.01$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Nets49c397.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Wizards50c396.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Nets51c385.57$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9326755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a5…750dbacked Nets51c381.18$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Wizards52c378.73$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68f2…ffd2backed Nets49c332.37$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards51c331.79$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Wizards49c324.14$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards52c321.93$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0915…ba41backed Nets49c310.6$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Wizards50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Nets51c295.65$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Wizards49c295.35$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Wizards51c295.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards44c292.85$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Wizards49c290.07$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Wizards52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6816948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Wizards51c257.11$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1322552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Wizards9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Wizards14c249.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nets53c248.67$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.071,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Nets49c237.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0824849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5b…1902backed Nets49c229.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Wizards23c228.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Nets27c222.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.95269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets50c212.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.441,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards50c207.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Wizards52c204.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Nets48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Nets49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Nets53c194.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.