TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under51c59,129$30,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,450.5419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c18,029$8,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,463.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c14,832$6,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,903.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over48c13,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,76043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Under1c9,839$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.285269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c9,042$4,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c8,531$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.379,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c7,945$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.6566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over49c5,930$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.3332846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c5,345$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.11,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under47c4,626$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.4229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under52c4,574$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.6614953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c4,150$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0406939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under50c3,138$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.7987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c2,888$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,272$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c2,249$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.2122948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c2,136$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under49c2,022$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.551931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over21c1,955$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.5952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under57c1,930$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.611,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c1,849$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.941,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.842,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9829810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c1,330$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over80c1,224$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3615863.9%101 W · 57 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,168$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c1,096$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.4190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under4c1,050$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over52c1,019$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c986.78$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over62c908.15$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.231,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over52c900.85$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under26c889.33$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.978040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under14c870.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2712637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under50c839.9$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.437153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under25c836$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.847441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under50c817.96$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Under10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c776.53$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c731.96$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over48c714.49$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5311242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212528%7 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+150.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c689.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c654.34$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.541,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c621.62$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c592.72$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under21c566$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43bf…425abacked Under51c564.95$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under49c543.69$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5232450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over53c524.59$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c523.8$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c485.36$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under21c480$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4826639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over44c407.86$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.734667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Under11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c399.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe3…6b70backed Over51c397.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ed…7971backed Under50c397.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.851250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c390.12$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.51,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1228046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under19c380$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Under52c378.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7710255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Under5c375$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Over52c370.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.733860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8218…86a7backed Under50c362.78$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.391866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7ea…8288backed Over51c359.12$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c324.33$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.721,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under49c317.65$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.571,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under70c309.77$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21611873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9928852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c285.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.478450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over50c279.39$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.094953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under40c275.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under55c261.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14432151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over52c251.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8814852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under26c249$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over12c247.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9118835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over42c242.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c234.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c231.9$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.162,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c225.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under50c217.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under49c202.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8125049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under16c202$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.285334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9419435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c196.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.461,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over51c196.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.715252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.