CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Acend (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c664ddb723ec71a1938780c317f77e2b3fcfae7fa01fd70b48ca1e93ac31cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Acend | 16c | 11,130$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.9 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 | 79c | 4,147$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 | 78c | 1,074$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.49 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Acend | 22c | 999.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Acend | 22c | 803$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 22c | 788.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 13c | 761.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Acend | 21c | 689.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Acend | 12c | 603.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ebd6backed G2 | 75c | 578.56$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 | 75c | 528.59$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Acend | 25c | 501.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed G2 | 79c | 407$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…9acebacked Acend | 23c | 379$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 | 74c | 358.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked G2 | 75c | 354.65$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Acend | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 | 79c | 293.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Acend | 17c | 291$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed G2 | 77c | 264$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked G2 | 79c | 251.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 | 80c | 250.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Acend | 22c | 225.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Acend | 24c | 220.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed G2 | 77c | 220.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Acend | 21c | 215.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed G2 | 76c | 191.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed G2 | 78c | 176.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…5ab9backed Acend | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked G2 | 70c | 163$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Acend | 27c | 151$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…70d9backed G2 | 75c | 150.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 25c | 129.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed G2 | 72c | 126.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Acend | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed G2 | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Acend | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Acend | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Acend | 21c | 99.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 74c | 88.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Acend | 21c | 81.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed G2 | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Acend | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed G2 | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Acend | 14c | 78.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Acend | 19c | 76.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed G2 | 78c | 73.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…a3e9backed G2 | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed G2 | 76c | 69.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…8738backed G2 | 80c | 68.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Acend | 29c | 66.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Acend | 18c | 62.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked G2 | 80c | 62.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed G2 | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…3704backed Acend | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Acend | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Acend | 22c | 46.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed G2 | 77c | 45.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Acend | 24c | 44.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…2364backed G2 | 76c | 43.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked G2 | 72c | 42.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked G2 | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed G2 | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed G2 | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked G2 | 72c | 30.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed G2 | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed G2 | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed G2 | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed G2 | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked G2 | 78c | 22.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed G2 | 71c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…5c93backed G2 | 78c | 20.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed G2 | 74c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed G2 | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…41f2backed G2 | 80c | 18.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked G2 | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed G2 | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.