CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x099edd2653dacbee0d91544562c7fe71ad6766d97a2254bf00d45084d72fbb51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 2,650$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.99 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 2,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed M80 | 49c | 2,387$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.3 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 36c | 2,315$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 36c | 2,306$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.99 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked M80 | 22c | 1,972$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.87 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed M80 | 22c | 1,233$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.09 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,110$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.83 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 21c | 985.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.23 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 14c | 921.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 18c | 908.88$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 870$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked M80 | 24c | 797.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.21 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 767.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 13c | 672.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed M80 | 11c | 609.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 7c | 608.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.51 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 590.07$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M80 | 21c | 563.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.23 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed M80 | 23c | 464.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 392.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed M80 | 22c | 390.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 380$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 20c | 354.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed M80 | 5c | 337.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 313.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed M80 | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 267.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 256.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked M80 | 66c | 237.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 220$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed M80 | 27c | 218.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 196.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 187$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed M80 | 22c | 184.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed M80 | 23c | 160.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 157$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked M80 | 8c | 141.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed M80 | 48c | 138.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 126.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 124.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked M80 | 70c | 118.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed M80 | 20c | 116.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…08a1backed M80 | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed M80 | 18c | 109.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked M80 | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 99.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 96.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked M80 | 12c | 87.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed M80 | 21c | 83.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 69.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 67.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 64.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…2843backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 63.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed M80 | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed M80 | 23c | 47.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…7e30backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 43.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 39.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 34.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 31.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…a900backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 17.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 17.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 166 | 64.5%107 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.