CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9cbdb4b8333d69e7570466ff6c0a079cfc832495d73022f706916ec53909d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 42,554$33,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,785.93 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 23,200$11,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,428.81 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed M80 | 23c | 19,715$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,180.93 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed M80 | 19c | 19,082$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,456.64 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 18,741$13,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,604.55 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed M80 | 30c | 16,206$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,288.86 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed M80 | 22c | 15,635$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,226.57 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 15,000$11,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,449.95 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked M80 | 49c | 9,334$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 9,176$6,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,065.99 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 43c | 6,781$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 48c | 6,693$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked M80 | 24c | 6,692$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.36 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed M80 | 52c | 5,828$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.11 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed M80 | 29c | 5,087$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.68 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 35c | 4,689$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 20c | 4,162$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.44 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 3,887$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.14 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed M80 | 24c | 3,752$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.6 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…4358backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 3,284$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 23c | 3,235$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.49 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 2,595$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.69 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked M80 | 24c | 2,386$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.9 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed M80 | 23c | 2,365$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.38 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed M80 | 63c | 2,330$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.84 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,276$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 35c | 2,007$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed M80 | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,985$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 50c | 1,946$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked M80 | 20c | 1,856$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.11 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked M80 | 30c | 1,801$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.94 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked M80 | 20c | 1,757$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.92 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed M80 | 32c | 1,699$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.59 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed M80 | 46c | 1,681$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.35 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,600$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed M80 | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,489$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.79 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked M80 | 48c | 1,463$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.82 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed M80 | 15c | 1,443$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.64 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked M80 | 48c | 1,384$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.71 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 24c | 1,357$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked M80 | 46c | 1,300$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,292$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,281$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.2 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed M80 | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.84 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,247$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed M80 | 23c | 1,218$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.95 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,185$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.61 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked M80 | 33c | 1,028$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.17 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…867cbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,023$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 981.4$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.88 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked M80 | 45c | 978.71$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.42 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 943.19$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.24 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 936.19$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.23 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked M80 | 54c | 924.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.58 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed M80 | 59c | 917.29$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…5077backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 873.2$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed M80 | 22c | 849.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.41 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed M80 | 43c | 827.11$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed M80 | 24c | 795.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.45 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed M80 | 49c | 791.45$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 765.04$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.12 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked M80 | 20c | 742.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.44 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 722.02$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.66 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 706.63$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.65 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 706.26$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 704.43$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.41 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 681.46$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…f531backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 645.58$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.55 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.4 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 629.25$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…4998backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 623$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed M80 | 43c | 622.65$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 29c | 601$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.11 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked M80 | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed M80 | 22c | 600$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.06 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked M80 | 29c | 593.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.75 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 589.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…7af3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 586.66$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.73 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked M80 | 4c | 574.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 568.25$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.72 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked M80 | 35c | 517.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…c66dbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 516.25$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 506.15$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.74 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 506.11$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.72 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 505.75$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.89 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 501.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed M80 | 40c | 489.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed M80 | 50c | 484.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed M80 | 5c | 481.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.36 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 470.93$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.06 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3856…19eabacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 459.85$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 24c | 453.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.