TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Aurora Gamingof M80, Aurora Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,748 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c93…33d5backed M801c9,436$95 inLost-$94.9948437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8018c1,197$221 inLost-$221.064,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked M809c1,034$95 inLost-$94.558232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Aurora Gaming66c657.94$434 inWon+$223.726549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming80c563.15$450 inWon+$112.8338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked M8033c450.45$151 inLost-$150.791,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed M8034c431.64$146 inLost-$14655950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M809c270.85$24 inLost-$24.155,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked M8027c258.83$70 inLost-$70.451,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Aurora Gaming68c216.63$147 inWon+$69.5248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked M805c203.95$10 inLost-$10.232832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked M8019c172.23$32 inLost-$32.3426836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Aurora Gaming73c134.77$98 inWon+$36.3913267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed M8033c89.26$29 inLost-$29.4628046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked M8017c81.67$14 inLost-$14.2670036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x295a…5adabacked M8038c80.42$31 inLost-$30.562437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed M8040c72.3$29 inLost-$28.927552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Aurora Gaming73c65.28$48 inWon+$17.693240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…d60dbacked M8033c51.84$17 inLost-$17.288554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed M8020c50$10 inLost-$101,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Aurora Gaming72c49.16$35 inWon+$13.7629558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed M8024c43.9$11 inLost-$10.581,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed M8050c29.1$15 inLost-$14.5554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Aurora Gaming68c27.09$18 inWon+$8.6711750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Aurora Gaming50c24$12 inWon+$1226249.2%129 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.