CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6118fb48162b982ab90217eb1eeb347d95555741864acc22cc2dd80226b19bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860c…4cc1backed Bebop | 52c | 938.36$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 773.82$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.51 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 35c | 579.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bebop | 26c | 296.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bebop | 24c | 288.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 224.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 213.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop | 30c | 166.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 141.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Bebop | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 46c | 139.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 137.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Bebop | 50c | 111.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 89.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 88.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 85.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Bebop | 57c | 82.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 82.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 39c | 81.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 74.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bebop | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Bebop | 32c | 60.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Bebop | 33c | 57.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Bebop | 28c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 47.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 45.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Bebop | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 38.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 35.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 34.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.