CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x603731b5e06a177a6b5fb00e935dbf2dd86c9309dc66f415f84dbf175a17a7e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof OG, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0438…9d98backed OG | 30c | 3,023$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.12 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 60c | 1,260$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked OG | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed OG | 47c | 659.31$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed BESTIA | 36c | 550.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.39 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA | 66c | 544.04$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed OG | 30c | 529.55$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 50c | 497.34$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA | 58c | 463.23$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed BESTIA | 36c | 453.64$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked OG | 64c | 453.64$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA | 51c | 402.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed OG | 51c | 389.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked OG | 23c | 363.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 17c | 346.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 68c | 340.47$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BESTIA | 65c | 316.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked BESTIA | 72c | 219.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BESTIA | 32c | 204.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BESTIA | 27c | 162.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed BESTIA | 62c | 151.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed OG | 68c | 145.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed BESTIA | 76c | 113.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked BESTIA | 58c | 96.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 38c | 84.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BESTIA | 60c | 79.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed OG | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA | 55c | 53.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked OG | 68c | 50.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BESTIA | 47c | 49.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed BESTIA | 70c | 45.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BESTIA | 57c | 44.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked OG | 37c | 40.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked OG | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…ff2fbacked BESTIA | 67c | 30.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…41f2backed OG | 78c | 23.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.