CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e086dbaa0099575de4051f50055ca0c74af675f2b323df57b9f20dffbc2573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof OG, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 18c | 2,438$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed OG | 9c | 1,041$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked OG | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BESTIA | 66c | 999.47$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed OG | 18c | 791.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed BESTIA | 55c | 758.49$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.29 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 60c | 675.69$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked OG | 15c | 605.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…227abacked BESTIA | 60c | 518.82$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked OG | 60c | 504.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked OG | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed OG | 10c | 497.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed OG | 31c | 453.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed OG | 29c | 434.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed OG | 33c | 404.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.62 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 15c | 392.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 41c | 381.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed OG | 54c | 353.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OG | 15c | 277.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 14c | 258.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed OG | 32c | 222.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BESTIA | 69c | 216.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed OG | 58c | 197.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed OG | 57c | 192.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked OG | 30c | 176.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked OG | 9c | 165.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 65c | 163.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked OG | 17c | 163.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed OG | 61c | 161.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked OG | 18c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked BESTIA | 39c | 158.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed OG | 10c | 137$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BESTIA | 65c | 135.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked BESTIA | 57c | 135.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed BESTIA | 46c | 109.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked OG | 29c | 108.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BESTIA | 58c | 104.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed OG | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed OG | 28c | 97.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed OG | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed OG | 21c | 82.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked OG | 35c | 76.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed BESTIA | 66c | 73.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked BESTIA | 58c | 70.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked OG | 34c | 69.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed OG | 28c | 67.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked OG | 37c | 64.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked OG | 59c | 54.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed OG | 26c | 50.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 30c | 47.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked BESTIA | 65c | 46.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed BESTIA | 72c | 42.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked OG | 34c | 39.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OG | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 71c | 32.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.