Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gods Reign vs Revenant XSpark (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0518b59116b3a03633f7f053d5c3a85ff70c7bd5f1049fb7c841a2771494a20d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Revenant XSparkof Gods Reign, Revenant XSpark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Revenant XSpark | 37c | 1,898$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.38 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Gods Reign | 63c | 1,316$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Revenant XSpark | 36c | 724.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Revenant XSpark | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Revenant XSpark | 36c | 693.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.85 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Gods Reign | 65c | 614$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.88 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gods Reign | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Gods Reign | 63c | 447.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Gods Reign | 63c | 408.07$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Gods Reign | 64c | 400$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Revenant XSpark | 36c | 346.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Gods Reign | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Gods Reign | 65c | 232.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Gods Reign | 64c | 228.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Revenant XSpark | 37c | 204.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Gods Reign | 62c | 202.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Revenant XSpark | 36c | 199.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Gods Reign | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Gods Reign | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed Gods Reign | 64c | 139.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Revenant XSpark | 38c | 124.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…4774backed Revenant XSpark | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Revenant XSpark | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Gods Reign | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Revenant XSpark | 22c | 96.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Gods Reign | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Revenant XSpark | 37c | 79.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Gods Reign | 65c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Gods Reign | 65c | 61.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…3fd9backed Revenant XSpark | 37c | 58.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…1c5ebacked Gods Reign | 64c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Gods Reign | 64c | 50.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Gods Reign | 74c | 47.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Gods Reign | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Gods Reign | 66c | 45.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Gods Reign | 64c | 43.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gods Reign | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Gods Reign | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Gods Reign | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Gods Reign | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Revenant XSpark | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Revenant XSpark | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Gods Reign | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Gods Reign | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gods Reign | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…b599backed Gods Reign | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…c612backed Gods Reign | 63c | 20.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Gods Reign | 64c | 19.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.