Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - NA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d57a7372106d143a0be4b7a638580d35818944c335774e5c88cb20b8e87d57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ghools Esportsof Ghools Esports, Team RA'AD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b6a…7ed2backed Team RA'AD | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team RA'AD | 13c | 3,934$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.48 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Team RA'AD | 65c | 3,158$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.62 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team RA'AD | 0c | 3,156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…c8d6backed Team RA'AD | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf76…ed20backed Ghools Esports | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…889dbacked Ghools Esports | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…551cbacked Ghools Esports | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ghools Esports | 61c | 1,269$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.55 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…1616backed Ghools Esports | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Ghools Esports | 74c | 1,048$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…0976backed Ghools Esports | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team RA'AD | 35c | 876.63$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.81 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…238dbacked Ghools Esports | 64c | 850$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Ghools Esports | 34c | 809.27$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.12 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 689$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.24 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed Ghools Esports | 36c | 681$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team RA'AD | 11c | 662.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ghools Esports | 34c | 599.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Ghools Esports | 37c | 598.16$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Team RA'AD | 44c | 556$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Team RA'AD | 66c | 434$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Team RA'AD | 64c | 429$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Team RA'AD | 48c | 417.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Team RA'AD | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Team RA'AD | 46c | 366.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Team RA'AD | 64c | 329$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed Team RA'AD | 65c | 304$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team RA'AD | 47c | 289.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ghools Esports | 47c | 246.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Team RA'AD | 49c | 243$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 231.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team RA'AD | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ghools Esports | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Team RA'AD | 49c | 194.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ghools Esports | 35c | 157.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Ghools Esports | 34c | 142.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Team RA'AD | 59c | 141.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Ghools Esports | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team RA'AD | 47c | 135.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…6511backed Team RA'AD | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed Team RA'AD | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Team RA'AD | 65c | 110.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Team RA'AD | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Team RA'AD | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed Team RA'AD | 56c | 107.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 106.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Ghools Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ghools Esports | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Team RA'AD | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ghools Esports | 37c | 86.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Team RA'AD | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ghools Esports | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ghools Esports | 48c | 67.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Team RA'AD | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team RA'AD | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ghools Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Team RA'AD | 30c | 46.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ghools Esports | 41c | 43.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 43.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 42.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Ghools Esports | 48c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Ghools Esports | 47c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Ghools Esports | 35c | 32.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team RA'AD | 64c | 31.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Ghools Esports | 58c | 30.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Team RA'AD | 50c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team RA'AD | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Team RA'AD | 66c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…cc5ebacked Ghools Esports | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - NAthis page
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD - Map 1 WinnerGhools Esports won
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD - Map 2 WinnerGhools Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.