Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3da531f8b9c9b44299e9e276d99946dd0e8f6f4ff9a51a3d0d11f5b3b06c856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ghools Esportsof Ghools Esports, Team RA'AD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team RA'AD | 13c | 790.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team RA'AD | 49c | 281.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Team RA'AD | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team RA'AD | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team RA'AD | 55c | 183.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Team RA'AD | 49c | 117.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team RA'AD | 53c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team RA'AD | 51c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8e…a415backed Team RA'AD | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - NAGhools Esports won
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD - Map 2 WinnerGhools Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.