TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof VP.Prodigy, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,218 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rune Eaters62c9,048$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.3223653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed VP.Prodigy42c4,898$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.214840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Rune Eaters65c2,592$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9846649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy43c1,801$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.3734544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Rune Eaters62c1,623$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.2618745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed VP.Prodigy34c1,370$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.815650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Rune Eaters67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+54.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed VP.Prodigy46c967.84$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4446160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a65…9142backed Rune Eaters70c926.15$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Rune Eaters57c876.26$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed VP.Prodigy43c834.39$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.163545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed VP.Prodigy35c808.13$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.481936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked VP.Prodigy38c795.39$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.867440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed VP.Prodigy33c747$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4212454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Rune Eaters58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.668844.3%39 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Rune Eaters73c688.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5511648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Rune Eaters66c664.14$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3113948.9%68 W · 71 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed VP.Prodigy34c650.04$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4318954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters73c635.9$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.382,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed VP.Prodigy43c617.97$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91d…1635backed VP.Prodigy13c571$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Rune Eaters77c545.28$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.225150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2448…86d3backed VP.Prodigy9c507$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy28c458.68$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.251,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed VP.Prodigy41c454.31$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.694932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed VP.Prodigy45c445.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.273225%8 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters57c438.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5169552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Rune Eaters59c436.35$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8822945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed VP.Prodigy34c424$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.165139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6851…e4adbacked VP.Prodigy30c416.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked VP.Prodigy44c386.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.221253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Rune Eaters62c370.15$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.271361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a5…56f3backed VP.Prodigy44c364.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Rune Eaters57c350$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.714849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed VP.Prodigy37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5513138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters64c293.22$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1860542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed VP.Prodigy36c272.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.572250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed VP.Prodigy45c258.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters79c253.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2935361.2%216 W · 137 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Rune Eaters57c238.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.773253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf823…74c4backed Rune Eaters78c225.79$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed VP.Prodigy45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy40c216.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9149133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Rune Eaters78c216.08$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5315145%68 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf8…1e82backed VP.Prodigy11c209.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.091741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49eb…e685backed VP.Prodigy13c209$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.09520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Rune Eaters58c205.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7534045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked VP.Prodigy45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked VP.Prodigy7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Rune Eaters56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9920838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked VP.Prodigy52c192.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Rune Eaters58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.665354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Rune Eaters56c183.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…9b2bbacked Rune Eaters56c181.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Rune Eaters74c180.29$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed VP.Prodigy22c178.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.983622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a13…0473backed Rune Eaters58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters75c172.21$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.912,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Rune Eaters59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Rune Eaters77c157.85$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed VP.Prodigy30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6223938.5%92 W · 147 L-18.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Rune Eaters71c140.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2811857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed VP.Prodigy44c136.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Rune Eaters71c131.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9510156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…8d3dbacked Rune Eaters78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked VP.Prodigy44c127.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5673554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed VP.Prodigy34c125.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.85648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed VP.Prodigy12c116$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.928035%28 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed VP.Prodigy23c110.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed VP.Prodigy27c110.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rune Eaters58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.225348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed VP.Prodigy34c108$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.722360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Rune Eaters70c105.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy34c100.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Rune Eaters66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3450247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4496942.8%415 W · 554 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked VP.Prodigy34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349145.1%41 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Rune Eaters75c97.93$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed VP.Prodigy24c93.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.351,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked VP.Prodigy45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed VP.Prodigy34c87.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9618739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Rune Eaters73c87.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.674358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb82…fd72backed Rune Eaters73c82.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy29c76.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked Rune Eaters74c76.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.057741.6%32 W · 45 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed VP.Prodigy44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.684854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x548c…34a7backed Rune Eaters70c71.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+117%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2909…d8d9backed Rune Eaters68c70.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed VP.Prodigy34c69.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7641…0089backed VP.Prodigy23c67.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters78c64.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0390756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked VP.Prodigy21c60.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7414962.4%93 W · 56 L+21.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed VP.Prodigy50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308754%47 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Rune Eaters77c51.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.967448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3663…a364backed Rune Eaters59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked VP.Prodigy33c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy44c49.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7441050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked VP.Prodigy46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac9a…80cfbacked Rune Eaters65c41.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.