Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8926b8356ff5987e3d42de3b8f27e40bb0e6e8b18337e578891e802003ec021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof VP.Prodigy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,218 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 9,048$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.32 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 4,898$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.2 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 2,592$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 1,801$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.37 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 1,623$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.26 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 1,370$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.8 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 967.84$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 926.15$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 876.26$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 834.39$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 808.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 795.39$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 747$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 688.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 664.14$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 650.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 635.9$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 617.97$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…1635backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 571$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 545.28$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…86d3backed VP.Prodigy | 9c | 507$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 458.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 454.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 445.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 438.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 436.35$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 424$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…e4adbacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 416.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 386.82$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 370.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 364.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 350$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 293.22$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 272.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 258.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 253.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 238.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…74c4backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 225.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…8a04backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 216.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 216.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 209.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e685backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 209$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 205.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked VP.Prodigy | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked VP.Prodigy | 52c | 192.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 183.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 181.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 180.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 178.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a13…0473backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 172.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 157.85$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 136.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 131.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 125.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 110.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 110.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 108$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 105.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 100.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 97.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 93.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 87.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 87.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fd72backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 82.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 76.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 76.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…34a7backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…d8d9backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 70.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 69.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 67.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 64.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 60.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed VP.Prodigy | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 51.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…a364backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy | 44c | 49.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…80cfbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 41.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.