CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3447c4bf7ec9d478056558805edb3ada5fdf1866e89ed428af6133df865e532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 59c | 3,066$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 2,892$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rebels Gaming | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 1,041$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked illwill | 71c | 1,009$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 29c | 993.86$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed illwill | 56c | 943.3$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed illwill | 64c | 740.85$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed illwill | 33c | 575.54$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed illwill | 79c | 472.67$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 59c | 437.11$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked illwill | 53c | 431.05$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked illwill | 71c | 417.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Rebels Gaming | 48c | 340.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Rebels Gaming | 60c | 318.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 284.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked illwill | 40c | 246.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed illwill | 64c | 231.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked Rebels Gaming | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…7396backed illwill | 56c | 172.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked illwill | 47c | 150.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…efd0backed illwill | 60c | 127.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Rebels Gaming | 32c | 123.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed illwill | 48c | 117.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…c438backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 114.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Rebels Gaming | 23c | 113.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed illwill | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Rebels Gaming | 29c | 88.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 87.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb168…093ebacked Rebels Gaming | 20c | 84.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed illwill | 59c | 81.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rebels Gaming | 34c | 76.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rebels Gaming | 34c | 76.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 75.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Rebels Gaming | 61c | 75.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked illwill | 47c | 71.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Rebels Gaming | 36c | 68.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Rebels Gaming | 78c | 63.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed illwill | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rebels Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked illwill | 73c | 48.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed illwill | 64c | 48.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked illwill | 64c | 41.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed illwill | 51c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked illwill | 33c | 34.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed illwill | 72c | 29.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…38e9backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 29.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Rebels Gaming | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed illwill | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed illwill | 66c | 20.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked illwill | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed illwill | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed illwill | 70c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked illwill | 56c | 18.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed illwill | 74c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…4ee4backed illwill | 76c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 WinnerRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.