CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ae342144ebdc7c233113f1f1a07f0155ff2b5446d1389c57650c3cc89916d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Aurora Gaming, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 47,528$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.12 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 38,825$23,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,389.68 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Legacy | 38c | 29,634$11,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,373.08 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 18,366$10,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,715.62 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 17,501$10,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,265.85 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Legacy | 35c | 13,216$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.74 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy | 44c | 11,335$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.21 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy | 49c | 11,334$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.97 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 50c | 10,822$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 9,841$7,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,305.34 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Aurora Gaming | 0c | 9,354$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Legacy | 48c | 6,787$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.57 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 6,348$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.55 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Legacy | 40c | 5,938$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.47 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 5,935$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 5,374$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.49 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 5,060$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.17 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Legacy | 44c | 4,323$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.18 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Legacy | 53c | 4,188$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.43 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 42c | 4,064$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.39 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 46c | 4,056$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.96 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 39c | 3,898$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.6 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 42c | 3,281$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.04 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 45c | 3,044$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.42 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.97 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 2,867$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 2,630$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.6 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 2,622$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.46 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Legacy | 40c | 2,592$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.04 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Legacy | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Legacy | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Legacy | 41c | 2,410$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.17 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 2,132$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Legacy | 40c | 2,001$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.07 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.98 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 44c | 1,798$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.02 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Legacy | 41c | 1,754$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.09 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Legacy | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,679$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.53 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,593$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.35 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,585$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,530$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 48c | 1,467$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.2 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,408$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.63 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Legacy | 50c | 1,369$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.46 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,339$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.28 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Legacy | 38c | 1,302$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.05 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Legacy | 52c | 1,224$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.53 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Legacy | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,200$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.42 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,187$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.78 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,152$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.27 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,138$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy | 44c | 1,110$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.08 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…d235backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,082$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,064$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,048$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.11 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,003$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.78 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…40c9backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 974.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Legacy | 41c | 949.62$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.17 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Legacy | 55c | 942.55$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.15 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 926.61$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 900$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.97 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Legacy | 35c | 900$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Legacy | 54c | 884.16$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.86 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 845.63$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 825.81$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…df40backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 799.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 790.31$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 779.75$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Legacy | 47c | 770$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Legacy | 38c | 750.31$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Legacy | 40c | 740$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 725$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy | 40c | 698$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Legacy | 38c | 674.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Legacy | 41c | 606.78$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 604.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 603.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 42c | 599.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Legacy | 40c | 595.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Legacy | 41c | 568.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 548.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 538.37$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.09 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 536$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 532.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 530.5$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.09 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…ad59backed Legacy | 44c | 515.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Legacy | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Legacy | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 467.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…2dd0backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 458.15$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 453$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.