CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4cfae31f6773421eff4c86ffb8844b3c3db81a000da3dac974c1de74df9fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d4…22cabacked ECSTATIC | 6c | 3,103$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BIG | 53c | 675.91$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed BIG | 65c | 640.75$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 28c | 605.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed BIG | 37c | 407.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed ECSTATIC | 31c | 299.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed ECSTATIC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…e33ebacked ECSTATIC | 47c | 274.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 267.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked BIG | 73c | 242.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed BIG | 63c | 237.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ECSTATIC | 47c | 211.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BIG | 52c | 198$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ECSTATIC | 49c | 181.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 166.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ECSTATIC | 32c | 150.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 57c | 126.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed BIG | 75c | 118.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ECSTATIC | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ECSTATIC | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed BIG | 58c | 115.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…6d0ebacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 112.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…2e38backed ECSTATIC | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed ECSTATIC | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a3…e59abacked BIG | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ECSTATIC | 23c | 89.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed BIG | 78c | 87.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked ECSTATIC | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BIG | 53c | 75.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed BIG | 56c | 74.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked BIG | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…1829backed BIG | 70c | 68.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…122fbacked ECSTATIC | 45c | 65.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked BIG | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed BIG | 36c | 54.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed ECSTATIC | 39c | 52.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed ECSTATIC | 32c | 52.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked BIG | 77c | 52.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked ECSTATIC | 39c | 51.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…fae8backed BIG | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…f11abacked ECSTATIC | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked ECSTATIC | 24c | 47.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…c1a5backed BIG | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ECSTATIC | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed BIG | 35c | 41.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8bebbacked ECSTATIC | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed BIG | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BIG | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…69febacked BIG | 77c | 27.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…5f72backed BIG | 76c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed BIG | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…2623backed BIG | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 23.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 55c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BIG | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed BIG | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed BIG | 79c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs ECSTATIC (+1.5)ECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.