Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835279507b3a005992ad0aeed2ccabd4049f2c5c0d84ff9dddcecdc85b928015

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Joao Fonsecaof Joao Fonseca, Raphael Collignon
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,272 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed Raphael Collignon	6c	30,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.99	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raphael Collignon	31c	6,835$2,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,126.88	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Joao Fonseca	65c	4,972$3,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.71	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raphael Collignon	42c	4,781$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.88	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Joao Fonseca	59c	4,080$2,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.38	926	55.9%518 W · 408 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Raphael Collignon	5c	3,930$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	717	25.2%181 W · 536 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Joao Fonseca	77c	3,481$2,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.15	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Joao Fonseca	63c	3,275$2,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.1	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	-27.7wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Raphael Collignon	45c	3,186$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449	1,110	43%477 W · 633 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raphael Collignon	30c	3,098$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.7	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Joao Fonseca	68c	2,941$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.18	438	63.9%280 W · 158 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Joao Fonseca	58c	2,485$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.73	407	48.9%199 W · 208 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Raphael Collignon	46c	2,436$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.57	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Raphael Collignon	3c	2,423$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	198	35.4%70 W · 128 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raphael Collignon	6c	2,083$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.05	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Joao Fonseca	67c	1,819$1,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.49	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Joao Fonseca	58c	1,600$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.58	702	52.8%371 W · 331 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raphael Collignon	41c	1,347$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.6	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Raphael Collignon	35c	1,200$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.83	358	32.4%116 W · 242 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Joao Fonseca	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Raphael Collignon	45c	999.99$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	124	42.7%53 W · 71 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Raphael Collignon	32c	944.6$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.27	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Raphael Collignon	10c	909.69$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.82	283	22.3%63 W · 220 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raphael Collignon	37c	904.46$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.65	6,685	36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L	-96.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Joao Fonseca	56c	892.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.86	309	45.6%141 W · 168 L	-9.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Raphael Collignon	2c	846$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Joao Fonseca	79c	812.63$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.13	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	-8.2wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Joao Fonseca	54c	800$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Raphael Collignon	41c	726.72$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.66	6,596	50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L	+259.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Joao Fonseca	63c	690$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.3	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+9.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Joao Fonseca	55c	669.56$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.3	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Joao Fonseca	60c	659.64$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.09	526	61.2%322 W · 204 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Raphael Collignon	31c	642.26$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Joao Fonseca	57c	527.38$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.38	524	60.9%319 W · 205 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Raphael Collignon	34c	519.16$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.52	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Raphael Collignon	45c	511.51$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.87	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Raphael Collignon	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	265	41.9%111 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Joao Fonseca	59c	467.36$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.37	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Joao Fonseca	55c	460.89$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.4	174	62.6%109 W · 65 L	+34.2wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raphael Collignon	33c	460.57$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.42	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raphael Collignon	39c	448.99$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.11	7,710	47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raphael Collignon	46c	447.17$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.04	6,411	54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L	+283.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Joao Fonseca	56c	446.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	307	50.5%155 W · 152 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Raphael Collignon	48c	444.32$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.6	2,144	54.2%1,162 W · 982 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Raphael Collignon	45c	440.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	656	51.8%340 W · 316 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Joao Fonseca	71c	434.49$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.49	503	64.6%325 W · 178 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Raphael Collignon	44c	424.11$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.55	1,965	46.4%911 W · 1,054 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Joao Fonseca	59c	387$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.39	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Joao Fonseca	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Joao Fonseca	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Joao Fonseca	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Joao Fonseca	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Raphael Collignon	19c	344.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Raphael Collignon	45c	343.53$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.59	205	48.8%100 W · 105 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Raphael Collignon	46c	328.72$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	180	55.6%100 W · 80 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raphael Collignon	26c	327.38$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.45	1,920	55.4%1,064 W · 856 L	-44.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Joao Fonseca	66c	303.2$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.2	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Raphael Collignon	46c	296.49$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	146	39%57 W · 89 L	-14.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Joao Fonseca	43c	295.35$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.35	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…23c8backed Joao Fonseca	62c	294$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Joao Fonseca	78c	289.22$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.49	240	60.8%146 W · 94 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Raphael Collignon	45c	288.89$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	434	48.4%210 W · 224 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Joao Fonseca	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	229	49.8%114 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Raphael Collignon	37c	269.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	3,862	34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L	+92.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Raphael Collignon	8c	249.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Joao Fonseca	58c	228.73$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.19	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Joao Fonseca	57c	226.23$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.23	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Joao Fonseca	72c	225.23$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.12	6,740	48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L	+58.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Joao Fonseca	58c	215.69$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.69	245	60%147 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Raphael Collignon	46c	215.12$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	884	46.8%414 W · 470 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Raphael Collignon	43c	205.2$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.24	726	61.8%449 W · 277 L	+25.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Joao Fonseca	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Raphael Collignon	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Raphael Collignon	33c	199.94$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Raphael Collignon	22c	194.41$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.59	1,377	16.3%224 W · 1,153 L	-109.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Raphael Collignon	45c	181.81$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.81	420	46.9%197 W · 223 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Joao Fonseca	55c	180$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	587	53.7%315 W · 272 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Joao Fonseca	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	186	59.7%111 W · 75 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a0…dd70backed Raphael Collignon	6c	169.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Joao Fonseca	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	82	62.2%51 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Joao Fonseca	55c	155.05$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.77	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Joao Fonseca	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	1,020	49.9%509 W · 511 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Raphael Collignon	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,406	45.3%637 W · 769 L	+43.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Joao Fonseca	57c	150$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	119	61.3%73 W · 46 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Raphael Collignon	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Joao Fonseca	58c	148$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.66	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bc…a1dabacked Joao Fonseca	69c	145.35$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.35	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	61cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raphael Collignon	37c	143.8$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.56	7,745	50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L	+93.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Raphael Collignon	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	119	37.8%45 W · 74 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5203…0312backed Joao Fonseca	55c	129$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.05	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+32%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Raphael Collignon	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	866	35.5%307 W · 559 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Raphael Collignon	44c	116.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	1,895	48.1%911 W · 984 L	+15.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Raphael Collignon	44c	115.45$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Raphael Collignon	43c	115.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	543	48.1%261 W · 282 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Raphael Collignon	45c	111$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	600	55.7%334 W · 266 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Joao Fonseca	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d90…08abbacked Joao Fonseca	56c	107.2$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Raphael Collignon	41c	106.46$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Joao Fonseca	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	250	43.2%108 W · 142 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Joao Fonseca	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignonthis page
Fonseca vs. Collignon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs CollignonFonseca won
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)Fonseca won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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