South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x855782ae35fd678e407d689eb3ac459759bcf4b393e2c02d4c1b0fbb23c573ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 5,992$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 38c | 3,897$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 6c | 2,969$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,816$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.64 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 2,466$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 1,693$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 59c | 1,472$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 991.71$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 871.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.11 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 32c | 817.64$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 67c | 746.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 70c | 649.35$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 58c | 522$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 439.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 342.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 70c | 323.04$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 312.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 44c | 252.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 211.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…457bbacked Yes | 76c | 206.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 185.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 44c | 159.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 43c | 155.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 13c | 140.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 59c | 118.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 58c | 113.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed Yes | 74c | 97.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed No | 16c | 96.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 87.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed No | 49c | 74.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked Yes | 52c | 74.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 65.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed No | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed Yes | 72c | 63.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…7f0bbacked Yes | 56c | 62.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 53c | 61.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 77c | 39.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 46c | 35.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…710dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…979ebacked Yes | 72c | 34.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…122fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Yes | 73c | 28.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…2f65backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 52c | 22.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Yes | 62c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3883…d357backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-25?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.