Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Evansville Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56dfd20b92d73e2b3ac4cebaabd6cfcace76c2b09b479d3d515906d5238856f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evansville Acesof Valparaiso Beacons, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 4,135$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Valparaiso Beacons | 76c | 1,911$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.75 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Evansville Aces | 48c | 1,529$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.96 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Evansville Aces | 29c | 1,095$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Valparaiso Beacons | 72c | 1,084$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.92 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons | 31c | 889.46$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Valparaiso Beacons | 75c | 719.19$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.67 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Evansville Aces | 32c | 600.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.63 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Valparaiso Beacons | 69c | 600.05$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 63c | 584.54$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.61 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Evansville Aces | 77c | 409.71$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valparaiso Beacons | 58c | 391.18$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valparaiso Beacons | 66c | 353.76$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Valparaiso Beacons | 67c | 316.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 68c | 256.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Evansville Aces | 33c | 217.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Valparaiso Beacons | 68c | 148.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 64c | 136.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 127.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Evansville Aces | 67c | 108.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Evansville Aces | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Evansville Aces | 73c | 80.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed Evansville Aces | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 69c | 62.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 19c | 59.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Valparaiso Beacons | 68c | 59.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valparaiso Beacons | 48c | 59.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valparaiso Beacons | 67c | 44.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 64c | 40.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Valparaiso Beacons | 67c | 40.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valparaiso Beacons | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Evansville Aces | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Evansville Aces | 80c | 31.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Valparaiso Beacons | 67c | 22.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Valparaiso Beacons | 75c | 15.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.