TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
George Mason Patriotsof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, George Mason Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked George Mason Patriots63c23,214$14,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,538.2789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c6,869$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.981,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies1c5,800$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c4,825$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.3115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies1c3,939$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies4c3,356$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.565,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c2,599$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.4915453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies30c1,894$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c1,419$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.372,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c1,289$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.0818349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies2c1,210$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed George Mason Patriots64c971.48$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.711,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c938.23$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1479448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies20c840.28$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies20c823.72$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c549.17$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked George Mason Patriots79c506.46$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies19c376.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.612630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c311.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.12321.7%5 W · 18 L-7.5wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies34c297.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.22,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c283.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c267.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0912147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9089146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed George Mason Patriots67c239.91$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.171,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies33c208.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked George Mason Patriots65c204.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c201.05$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.391926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies17c191.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.793,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c160.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5112655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies34c149.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c140.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3685248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies38c99.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.691,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies36c84.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.651,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed George Mason Patriots65c76.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7114448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x157c…3657backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c75.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies33c55.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.37045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c53.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies26c50.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies34c46.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8561244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies33c45.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed George Mason Patriots64c44.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed George Mason Patriots68c43.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked George Mason Patriots66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.633445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed George Mason Patriots65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8716755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies36c39.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2811051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies32c38.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6919522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed George Mason Patriots64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0915066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea52…b082backed George Mason Patriots68c20.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.541752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked George Mason Patriots79c18.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8230054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked George Mason Patriots65c18.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.414553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed George Mason Patriots70c15.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.