Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f03a79a8c9ecdcb342453760fddf976efd9b6dc5cdc32646777990247895a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 56c | 13,966$7,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,768.56 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 50c | 8,687$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.43 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 43c | 4,419$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.24 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 3,551$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 52c | 3,095$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 2,980$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.94 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 44c | 2,731$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.53 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 44c | 991.38$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.17 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Under | 44c | 766.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 52c | 659.57$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 45c | 505$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 381.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 375$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 347.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 247.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Over | 52c | 228.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 39c | 209.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 154.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 46c | 135.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 109.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 86.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 71.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 54.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 53c | 38.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 37.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 51c | 32.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 45c | 27.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 63c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 146.5this page
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason PatriotsGeorge Mason Patriots won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.