TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over53c74,522$39,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,140.521057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c56,555$26,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,761.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c47,430$22,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,127.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Over53c40,000$21,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,117.098037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over54c19,730$10,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,642.9660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c13,365$6,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,095.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c9,680$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.482,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.2720849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over53c6,614$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5004358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c5,244$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Over55c4,939$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.451723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0865…de7abacked Over52c4,256$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…db0cbacked Under48c4,177$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…912bbacked Over52c4,156$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4b…4b29backed Over52c4,055$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0483…df56backed Under48c4,034$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141f…ad5cbacked Under47c4,034$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e44…de19backed Under47c4,022$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x327e…2fbfbacked Under47c3,968$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,897$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…f3edbacked Under48c3,855$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x317e…ce53backed Under47c3,820$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa331…2857backed Over52c3,810$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…16b1backed Under48c3,755$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ae…a346backed Under48c3,710$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…c5ffbacked Under47c3,702$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb19…539fbacked Under47c3,698$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…f0dcbacked Under47c3,686$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfe…2accbacked Over52c3,655$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…c738backed Over53c3,625$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec5…4c02backed Under48c3,621$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…417dbacked Over53c3,618$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb30…3326backed Under47c3,590$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x931d…6fdbbacked Over53c3,582$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Over53c3,558$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67df…4435backed Under47c3,550$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c3,547$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1a…7484backed Over53c3,542$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d74…8287backed Under47c3,512$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…9ac9backed Over53c3,506$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe14…467abacked Under47c3,464$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…3abfbacked Over53c3,404$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a2…8475backed Over53c3,350$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c6…e81dbacked Over53c3,274$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12cd…f394backed Under47c3,248$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x028b…3e6fbacked Under47c3,226$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd5…d246backed Over52c3,220$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b3…6d90backed Over53c3,214$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21e…7941backed Over53c3,180$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861d…ee46backed Under47c3,162$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6b…13b8backed Under47c3,130$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc153…3f71backed Over53c3,092$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38d…d8f7backed Over53c3,082$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…019ebacked Over53c3,080$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389e…1515backed Over53c3,054$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4804…0f6bbacked Over53c3,006$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb73…3ba5backed Over53c3,005$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…cbeabacked Under47c3,002$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6205151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…13b7backed Over53c2,992$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db6…dd83backed Under47c2,978$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe752…22c4backed Under47c2,962$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa810…7496backed Under47c2,942$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…aaf0backed Over53c2,932$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…318dbacked Over53c2,922$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91d…8b41backed Under47c2,902$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc0…6514backed Under47c2,900$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4a…83dfbacked Under47c2,896$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c1…5fe3backed Over53c2,886$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69c…0022backed Under47c2,870$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…c823backed Over53c2,860$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5276…8000backed Over53c2,848$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…4b56backed Over53c2,834$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90cc…2f12backed Under47c2,806$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…c258backed Over53c2,794$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa148…7d04backed Under47c2,772$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd632…b267backed Under47c2,752$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,651$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…a8aebacked Over53c2,632$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…e3e9backed Under47c2,628$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,619$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…ec8fbacked Under47c2,610$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5191…3c4cbacked Over53c2,564$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51de…6346backed Over53c2,458$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7785…a669backed Over53c2,452$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1657…591dbacked Over53c2,390$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,245$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.91,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under47c2,115$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.971,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb5…c083backed Under47c2,095$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…706abacked Over53c2,088$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c2,083$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.531,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…9147backed Under47c2,083$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…9fdebacked Over53c2,074$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…792bbacked Over53c2,064$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…60fabacked Under47c2,055$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…2d39backed Over53c2,055$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a10…1e8cbacked Under47c2,053$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde40…fc26backed Over53c2,052$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.