NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a680a4720422c9b2ca2b392012516d689c6f3ca8eb5c329099cb57cdc64a9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bucks | 48c | 115,737$55,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,553.58 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 52c | 91,223$47,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,787.15 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks | 48c | 84,130$40,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,382.24 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 49c | 33,020$16,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,173.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 51c | 27,691$14,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,469.93 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 52c | 25,170$12,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,183.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Celtics | 52c | 24,266$12,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.6 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Celtics | 52c | 15,420$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.6 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 52c | 5,745$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Celtics | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…f189backed Bucks | 48c | 4,186$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 52c | 3,466$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 53c | 3,463$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.71 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 52c | 3,265$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.2 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.56 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,892$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.16 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Celtics | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Celtics | 52c | 1,625$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 53c | 1,426$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.91 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.18 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 52c | 1,300$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,187$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 51c | 1,166$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Celtics | 53c | 1,050$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Celtics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Bucks | 49c | 919.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Celtics | 52c | 768$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bucks | 47c | 716.93$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 47c | 585.44$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.16 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Celtics | 53c | 505.05$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.83 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Celtics | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Celtics | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Bucks | 48c | 477.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…530ebacked Celtics | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 52c | 369.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 53c | 305.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Celtics | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Celtics | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Celtics | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Celtics | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 52c | 254$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucks | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Celtics | 53c | 243.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 52c | 234.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…98aabacked Celtics | 53c | 228.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Bucks | 47c | 219.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks | 49c | 204.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Celtics | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Celtics | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 52c | 199.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 51c | 193.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Celtics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Celtics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Celtics | 51c | 172.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bucks | 48c | 171.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Celtics | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Celtics | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Celtics | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Celtics | 53c | 132.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Celtics | 53c | 126.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bucks | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Bucks | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Celtics | 52c | 114.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Celtics | 49c | 114.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Celtics | 53c | 112.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 51c | 108.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Celtics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Bucks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bucks | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…80efbacked Celtics | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Celtics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 62c | 94.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics | 53c | 90.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Celtics | 52c | 86.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Celtics | 53c | 80.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Celtics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Celtics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Bucks | 70c | 70.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucks | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Celtics | 52c | 59.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Celtics | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Celtics | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Celtics | 52c | 54.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…8937backed Celtics | 55c | 52.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Bucks | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Bucks | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Bucks | 49c | 49.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…9656backed Bucks | 48c | 48.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Celtics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Celtics | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 51c | 45.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Celtics | 51c | 41.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Bucks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 189.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 198.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 202.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Luka Garza: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-23.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.