NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525130920d4beed9885dc0df8aeec40eb27a4832354ef10f4fed0ec7f69358cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Bucks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,038,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,142,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,038,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 16c | 305,822$47,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,929.23 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 16c | 253,544$40,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,566.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bucks | 15c | 105,613$15,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,480.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Bucks | 17c | 70,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Bucks | 17c | 64,025$10,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,884.18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 16c | 45,348$7,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.48 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks | 1c | 42,202$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 5c | 37,594$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.43 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Bucks | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 0c | 30,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26c…278dbacked Bucks | 16c | 21,850$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…2890backed Celtics | 75c | 21,700$16,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Bucks | 25c | 21,700$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 15c | 20,346$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.42 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks | 16c | 18,500$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.04 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 14c | 17,680$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449a…a3c8backed Celtics | 76c | 15,400$11,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Bucks | 24c | 15,400$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 9c | 13,732$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.18 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed Bucks | 0c | 12,740$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Bucks | 0c | 10,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bucks | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 77c | 9,023$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.21 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Bucks | 4c | 8,560$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Celtics | 80c | 8,400$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Bucks | 20c | 8,298$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.7 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bucks | 15c | 6,300$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Bucks | 12c | 6,086$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.2 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Bucks | 2c | 6,051$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Bucks | 19c | 5,400$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…b833backed Bucks | 15c | 5,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 15c | 5,050$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bucks | 14c | 5,024$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.96 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Bucks | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Bucks | 20c | 4,829$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…1f67backed Bucks | 15c | 4,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Bucks | 16c | 4,300$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 3c | 4,289$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Bucks | 0c | 4,065$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bucks | 16c | 3,996$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.36 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bucks | 24c | 3,950$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.3 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Bucks | 1c | 3,945$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bucks | 24c | 3,768$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.04 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 13c | 3,607$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bucks | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Bucks | 16c | 3,114$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Bucks | 26c | 3,112$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…7edcbacked Celtics | 76c | 2,980$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.7 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…88c7backed Bucks | 24c | 2,950$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.1 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Bucks | 11c | 2,803$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Celtics | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 4c | 2,622$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Celtics | 76c | 2,620$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.41 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Celtics | 75c | 2,600$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Bucks | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Bucks | 28c | 2,375$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 19c | 2,304$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.26 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Celtics | 74c | 2,134$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.54 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bucks | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Bucks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bucks | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Bucks | 4c | 1,878$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bucks | 15c | 1,800$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Bucks | 1c | 1,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Bucks | 23c | 1,723$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bucks | 16c | 1,629$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Bucks | 21c | 1,506$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…c4e3backed Bucks | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Bucks | 13c | 1,450$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…cb09backed Bucks | 16c | 1,417$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…45c0backed Bucks | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…9c19backed Bucks | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Bucks | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…ab80backed Bucks | 7c | 1,390$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 13c | 1,375$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9463…6a9ebacked Bucks | 18c | 1,326$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Celtics | 77c | 1,319$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.87 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Bucks | 4c | 1,272$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bucks | 16c | 1,271$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…95dbbacked Bucks | 17c | 1,257$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed Bucks | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 16c | 1,164$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…c708backed Bucks | 5c | 1,137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Bucks | 16c | 1,125$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bucks | 6c | 1,114$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Bucks | 16c | 1,100$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 16c | 1,050$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 23c | 1,037$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 3c | 1,006$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Celtics | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Bucks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 401 | 27.2%109 W · 292 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Bucks | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Bucks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…218cbacked Bucks | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…4e2abacked Bucks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Bucks | 9c | 999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -98%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 189.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 198.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 202.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Luka Garza: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-23.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.