NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb43f39073a7489cd173733c59c1e81d9735b4da4483e7f84a3c80c5d885a4b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $942,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $942,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bucks | 52c | 348,476$181,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,207.39 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 49c | 131,953$64,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,615.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 48c | 130,865$62,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,049.6 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks | 52c | 117,705$61,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,152.38 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Bucks | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Celtics | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks | 53c | 57,123$30,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,241.88 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 48c | 51,120$24,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,689.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Bucks | 63c | 35,169$22,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,136.24 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 51c | 31,399$16,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,013.36 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Bucks | 52c | 25,049$13,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,025.24 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 50c | 21,212$10,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,542.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Celtics | 35c | 21,119$7,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,727.32 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Celtics | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 48c | 16,869$8,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,771.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed Bucks | 0c | 14,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 48c | 14,531$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,553.01 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 47c | 11,813$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.72 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 46c | 10,377$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.2 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bucks | 47c | 10,134$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks | 52c | 9,999$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.33 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 40c | 7,644$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bucks | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 54c | 7,005$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Celtics | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Celtics | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Celtics | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 46c | 5,463$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…2092backed Celtics | 50c | 4,102$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 49c | 3,910$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.19 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…debbbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,652$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…dfffbacked Celtics | 50c | 3,560$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Celtics | 49c | 3,428$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.45 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…8418backed Bucks | 50c | 3,425$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…2367backed Bucks | 50c | 3,250$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Celtics | 49c | 3,228$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.28 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…8e98backed Celtics | 50c | 3,215$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks | 51c | 3,158$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.78 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Bucks | 49c | 3,112$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.74 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05b…5409backed Celtics | 50c | 3,065$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb832…a589backed Bucks | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bucks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…2dadbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,975$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…45e1backed Bucks | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Celtics | 47c | 2,677$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.81 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Bucks | 52c | 2,550$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.99 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 48c | 2,544$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Celtics | 49c | 2,540$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.52 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Celtics | 47c | 2,514$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.52 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…4dc0backed Bucks | 50c | 2,450$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,424$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.49 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,410$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 49c | 2,334$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Celtics | 77c | 2,274$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 51c | 2,144$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.72 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Celtics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Celtics | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks | 53c | 1,992$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.23 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Bucks | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 51c | 1,771$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.05 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…3e64backed Celtics | 50c | 1,690$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,588$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Celtics | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,411$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,207$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.52 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 50c | 1,160$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,144$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Celtics | 23c | 1,130$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.1 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 52c | 1,049$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Celtics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Celtics | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Celtics | 49c | 970$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.7 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…0e02backed Bucks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Celtics | 50c | 805.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.24 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Celtics | 66c | 760.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Celtics | 64c | 751.11$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Celtics | 49c | 749.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 35c | 715.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Celtics | 49c | 709.08$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…057dbacked Celtics | 4c | 700$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 35c | 672.16$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Celtics | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Celtics | 49c | 600$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…d891backed Celtics | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 30c | 583.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks | 51c | 541.71$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.27 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Bucks | 57c | 528.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bucks | 39c | 526.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Celtics | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Bucks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 189.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 198.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 202.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Luka Garza: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-23.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.